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Double hammer after a run down - BHP_US

Chart Forum » Chart Patterns » Double hammer after a run down - BHP_US

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pasminco
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Username: pasminco

Post Number: 37
Registered: 02-2005

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Wednesday, May 24, 2006 - 03:17 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Take a look at the last few candlesticks on BHP_US , a hammer after a downtrend is supposed to be a bullish signal if confirmed the next day, however there was another hammer lower than the previous day, so what the heck is that indicating? BHP_US has strongly confirmed the hammers as bullish with it just sticking it's head above the high of the first hammer, but has now pulled its head back down. Is it a buy or a sell? I say it's a buy 'cos it has also bounced off an old top in both AU and US.


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hershy
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Username: hershy

Post Number: 1372
Registered: 10-2002

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Wednesday, May 24, 2006 - 06:57 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Mornin' Pas,
If I may be so bold as to mention "funny mentals", BHP is now trading at a PE ratio of 11.3.
I believe this is an excellent ratio for those who wish to hold long term.







The secret to good trading: If you do something well - do it often. If you do something badly, don't do it too much. Know the difference !

http://members.optusnet.com.au/~hershy/

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pasminco
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Username: pasminco

Post Number: 38
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Wednesday, May 24, 2006 - 10:39 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hershy, yes indeed, I got that email too. But that PE can increase real quickly if commodities correct further. It assumes that growth in demand continues at the current pace and also assumes that commodity prices remain high. I feel nervous writing this reply.

If BHP falls and closes below the old top then I think we can expect further losses and a lower PE, at least for a while. I'm holding on for now.


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hilarius
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Username: hilarius

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Registered: 04-2004

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Wednesday, May 24, 2006 - 11:43 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Good Morning

Looks like 2 hammers are better than 1 ...

So how long until we get a higher high ?

1 week ?

1 month ?

1 year ?

Longer ?

Never ?

:-)

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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smallworld
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Username: smallworld

Post Number: 450
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Wednesday, May 24, 2006 - 10:20 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



pasminco, do your own research, i think BHP's PE is based on copper price of 2$/lb. Recent large selling is rumoured to be triggered by margin call. comsec is one of the largest sellers in the past 2 days.


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dutchdanish
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Username: dutchdanish

Post Number: 18
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Thursday, May 25, 2006 - 03:29 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Interesting thread, smallworld. Good mind excercise.

Looking at it technically it is hard to draw a conclusion. The first hammer, notice the volume. Tons of buyers rally and hold support above ~43.00. Next hammer: buyers fail to hold support on large volume. April 3rd gap filled. Next day buyers try again...but sellers hold resistance at ~43.00, buyers have failed.

Now, looking at this chart today at mid-day (1:20PM on wallstreet) We now have 2 hammers followed by 2 inverted hammers. Who has the strength to win? Not sure but I would look to the strength/weakness of the overall market to draw my conclusions. Peace and Success,

-Dutch


"...yet with how many things are we upon the brink of becoming acquainted, if cowardice or carelessness did not restrain our inquiries."
--M. Shelley

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tbiddle
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Username: tbiddle

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Registered: 05-2007

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Saturday, May 05, 2007 - 12:14 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Looking at the chart, I wonder why the $33 close for BHP in May 2006 is not the one I see on the free version. I am confused. The free version shows a much lower price. Well below today's price, like $29 or thereabouts.







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colin_twiggs
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Username: colin_twiggs

Post Number: 2880
Registered: 09-2002

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Saturday, May 05, 2007 - 11:24 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



I suspect that you are comparing bhp_us to bhp_ax : two different exchanges.


Regards, Colin

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