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Author Message  hershy Member Username: hershy Post Number: 261 Registered: 10-2002 Rating:  Votes: 1 Thursday, July 08, 2004 - 07:13 am:     There is an American share educator that has a wealth of free information available to all and sundry. One can subscribe to various newsletters or one can just surf in to the web site. This crowd can be found at www.pristine.com. and I very highly recommend them. I now reproduce their latest newsletter. A free Pristine service published every other Wednesday at: http://www.pristine.com/lesson/ Paul Lange, Editor July 7, 2004 The Need to be Right By Paul Lange, Moderator of The Pristine Method® Trading Room, and Private Mentor in Pristine's Private Mentorship Program -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you are in the stages of learning to trade, you will become a compilation of all those you learned from. You will become your own unique breed of trader. We all come to the table with certain expectations and beliefs. We all come with some emotional baggage. We all learn from reading, studying websites, and other traders. Some informally, some by paying for education in the form of trading rooms, seminars and mentors. Every time you learn something, it adds to your experience as a trader. Eventually you become the sum of all you have learned. Even if you have a mentor you have tried to emulate, you will never be like your mentor. You will be unique. However, while no two traders are identical, most successful traders do share some common characteristics. Most have learned the value of a trading plan. Most have learned the need for stops. Most have learned many other disciplines that have been addressed in previous “Lessons of the Week”. It takes many a long time to understand the subject of this article. The need to be right. The topic is a simple one. Yet it eludes many traders. It seems only obvious that if we want to be successful, we need to be right in our underlying assumptions. If we want to trade stocks, we should focus on being ‘right’ about the direction stocks are going. Correct? Well, not really. Most traders focus too much on their need to be right. This can be detrimental and needs to be addressed. The truth of it is, we are dealing in the stock market. There is not a system, method or pattern that can produce accurate results all the time. If there were, it would be known to all. All would be using it. Ironically, if this was the case, when all started using the system, it could no longer work. A ‘catch 22’ of sorts, but just goes to show that it is obvious that there will never be a perfect system or indicator. The best we can do is to study each situation, collect the evidence, and make a high probability decision at the proper moment. What is of primary importance is how the situation is handled when the trader is right, how the situation is handled when the trader is wrong. What is the most common reason traders fail? The answer is not following stops. What is another top reason traders fail? The answer is not letting winners run. Not following a stop is an example of handling the situation improperly when a trader is wrong about the trade. Not letting a trade hit a target is an example of handling the situation improperly when a trader is right about the trade. What good is being ‘right’ if you don’t get paid for it? Good traders assume from the beginning that the trade may go bust. They know how much money they have risked. They know when they will get out, and they will analyze other options, such as profiting from the stock, which is now moving ‘against the odds’. Good traders also know how go balance being ‘right’ and being timely. I know of an advisory service that is taking credit for predicted the fall of the Dow. The only problem is that they began that prediction when the Dow hit 6000. Quite a hollow victory. Waiting for too much information may make you ‘right’ more often, but to what avail? It is like the trader that finally decides the NASDAQ is going higher intra-day, because it broke the high of the day. The only problem is that the NASDAQ rallied 30 points to come back to break the high of the day, it is so extended, there is no room left for profit. The trader may be ‘right’, but his late decision awards him no money. Yes, we need to be ‘right’ a fair amount when we trade. However, if your average winner is three times your average loser, you only need to be right 25% of the time to be breaking even gross. Read the last Lesson of the Week that give various examples of this concept. Accept that this is not an exact science, and never will be. We are reading peoples' emotions. Accept that you will be wrong a certain amount of the time and accept that graciously. Focus on how you handle your winner and loser. Make timely, high probability decisions when you have sufficient evidence, and do so consistently and objectively. Good Trading.  perler59 Member Username: perler59 Post Number: 218 Registered: 09-2003 Rating: N/A Votes: 0 Monday, July 12, 2004 - 08:32 pm:     If you decide to trade their "Stock of The Week" you'll do better if you go the opposite way to them. I don't know if lots of pros line up to gun for the stops or what, but its uncanny how often their entry price is passed by a few cents only to be followed by a quick and violent reversal!

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