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Weinstein Method - Stage 2? Head & Shoulders pattern?

Chart Forum » Trading - Systems » Weinstein Method - Stage 2? Head & Shoulders pattern?

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traderron
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Username: traderron

Post Number: 4
Registered: 06-2008

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Saturday, June 28, 2008 - 10:03 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Greetings fellow subscribers of the Weinstein method.

I just picked up some shares of SUAI (my first trade using the Weinstein method) and I wanted to get some opinions on my reading of the chart. I see it crossing the 30wk MA along with resistance at $5, thus crossing the neckline and entering S2.

I wanted to get some input from more astute members who use the Weinstein method to see if my reading is accurate or way out in left field. I have money invested in this so any feedback would be DEEPLY appreciated! :-)

Thanks in advance!


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sway
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Username: sway

Post Number: 354
Registered: 12-2005

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Sunday, June 29, 2008 - 08:10 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



traderron

I know nothing about the stock except what the chart tells me. I'm a bit confused by the title of your post? Head and shoulders is a different pattern. You can read about it on the IC trading guides. To me, SUAI looks OK from a WS view. A couple of things I would mention:

- I like the volume increase and change in RS from negative slope to positive. The pullback to near the 30w MA after the initial breakout is pretty much textbook WS.
- a longer period on stage 1 basing would have been nice.
- the minor resistance at $6.20 is a bit close for comfort. Then you have the major resistance at $7

Overall, with attention to your stops, you should be on a good thing. Best of luck.

Cheers
Sway







This is not a recommendation or advice. As they say .... DYOR.

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traderron
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Username: traderron

Post Number: 6
Registered: 06-2008

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Sunday, June 29, 2008 - 08:14 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Thanks a bunch for your comment, I truly appreciate it and you as well for taking time to review the chart and respond.

I must also mention that I noticed the nearby resistance as well. SW doesn't like nearby resistance but I'm okay with that for now because I set a goal to read the book and make a trade in June. The chart looked okay as you mentioned and June is almost over so I had to commit to and complete my goal in order to stay in-line with this specific milestone. I only invested a small amount of money but I had to "take action".

I'm hopeful to make better WS trades moving forward though. Again, thanks for your help. :-)

(Message edited by traderron on June 29, 2008)

(Message edited by traderron on June 29, 2008)


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sway
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Username: sway

Post Number: 356
Registered: 12-2005

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Sunday, June 29, 2008 - 08:38 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



No problem traderron. I would be interested to hear how you get on. Maybe post an update in a week or two?

Sway


This is not a recommendation or advice. As they say .... DYOR.

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philr
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Username: philr

Post Number: 421
Registered: 04-2004

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Sunday, June 29, 2008 - 09:42 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Traderron/Sway

Good points sway. One thing I would mention if you are following the Weinstein method Traderon, he says in his book that when the market generally is heading lower you should only be looking to short. Or taking very few long positions. That is the situation we are in at the moment.

Its something to keep in mind keep the percentages on your side i.e more stocks heading south than up.







Phil

** Let blockheads read what blockheads wrote.
Warren Buffett

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tryhay
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Username: tryhay

Post Number: 1087
Registered: 09-2005

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Monday, June 30, 2008 - 08:55 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)




traderron wrote on Saturday, June 28, 2008 - 10:03 am:

Greetings fellow subscribers of the Weinstein method


I am not sure what kind of trader I am but I don't think of it as a "Weinsteiner".

I do think it is easier to consider share movements based on a chart though. Specialty underwriters has had a poor 18 months but looks to be attempting a breakout of downtrend with the 200D_MA in the way.

Last week's price action was not supported by increased volume so I guess it will not power away from here (but I do agree support is near $5.00).

Chart: Look for respect of the new uptrend (could drop to $4.71 and still be in uptrend)

saui

Any FA that you know of traderron that produced that price spike?

cheers


Happy trading DYOR

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