Archive through May 13, 2005

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captain_chaza

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Post Number: 1168
Registered: 02-2003

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Votes: 0


Wednesday, April 27, 2005 - 01:42 pm:

Ahoy Fr Hilarius

I follow the BHP ADRs in NY
I noted they Gapped down 1.5% on the open
(Thanks to your Pommy mates)
And then fell another 1.5 % during NY hours
Watching the pommy close is like getting a lunch time quote
Not much point unless you are Sailing the Global Exchange in real time with 1/4 day Candlesticks
Don't you think?

Salute
Captain Chaza
capn

"While we stop and think, we often miss our opportunity." Publilius Syrus, 1st century B.C.

"I believe the future is only the past again, entered through another gate."
Sir Arthur Wing Pinero 1893

"There are two times in a man's life when he should not speculate: When he can't afford it, and when he can." Mark Twain, 1897

rederob

Member

Post Number: 782
Registered: 10-2002

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Votes: 0


Wednesday, April 27, 2005 - 07:50 pm:

dear landlubbers and sundry jetsam
the POG has dipped today, but only significantly in USD terms
in euro terms POG is no more than dollar softer, and a few odd aussie dollars shy of last night's close
given the euro has belted down to around 129cents US and kept its pecker in gold terms, there is a ripening northward advance in the making
any greenback weakness will release POG to weekly highs, and a sustained belting will see $445 broken
i am taking a small cue from base metals, where RSI are generally oversold to neutral, indicating a change in the wind is nearby
so long as the tide runs with us this week, a good outcome is assured

archer

Member

Post Number: 628
Registered: 11-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Friday, May 06, 2005 - 10:58 am:

You know sentiment is close to the bottom when a small cap
co like RMS has a hit like this and the shares hardly move
RMS

coyotte

Member

Post Number: 21
Registered: 12-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, May 08, 2005 - 02:23 pm:

not talking the gold or silver up or down
but following comparission charts there seems seems a direct
relationship with the $au since 2000
so as the POG rises and falls so does the $au , with POG gradually gaining over the years
seems the bet being placed on ozz miners is that POG/$au will break this pattern else we could end up in the same boat as SA producers ie high POG but higher $au --- ouch!

strange one rarely sees comments about "diamonds " on PM forums ----- could be the REAL sleeper ??

after all we only need another 1987 with a threat of deflation to get the money supply overflowing

coyotte

greatdane

Member

Post Number: 183
Registered: 12-2002

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Votes: 0


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 - 04:56 pm:

Optimistic

or realistic

MARKET TALK:
Gold Near $500 Around End 2005 - UBS 11/05/05 15:16:00

0516 GMT [Dow Jones]
Spot gold quoted at $427.30/oz, up 80 cents. Market participants focussed on U.S. March trade data, which could reveal immediate direction for USD, to which spot gold remains negatively correlated. Later this year, though, UBS says spot gold likely to advance on USD weakness, crack 4Q04 high of $456.75, to average US$460 in Q405 "on further dollar weakness this year;" expects metal to trade close to $500 towards end 2005, or early 2006.
More immediately, says strong Asian physical demand has supported gold in recent days. (RCB)

Contact us in Singapore. 65 64154 140;
MarketTalk@dowjones.com

Regards, GreatDane

goldbug

Member

Post Number: 173
Registered: 02-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 - 06:08 pm:

conservative.....

goldbug

Member

Post Number: 174
Registered: 02-2004

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Votes: 0


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 - 07:54 pm:

Its an OIL thing
Its a US trade and budget deficit thing
Its a Greenspan i dont know what your saying thing
Its a Greenspan your behind the curve thing
Its a terrorism thing
Its a Yuan re evaluation thing
Its a proxy to the Euro thing
Its an inverse to the $US thing
Its an inflation thing
Its a deflation thing
Its a stagflation thing
Its a stock market bear thing
Its a safe haven thing
Its a global gold production down thing
Its a China thing
Its a jewellery thing
Its a Gordon Brown we told you so thing
Its a record high household debt thing
Its a housing bubble thing
Its a GM and Ford thing
Its a WAR thing
Its a Nuke thing
Its a Bush thing
Its a market manipulation thing

Its every BLOODY thing!!!

Finally but not least...

Its a VALUE thing

GOT GOLD

Regards

GB

rederob

Member

Post Number: 804
Registered: 10-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 - 08:52 pm:

gb
printed your post
put it on its side
drew lines across top of each sentence
so as to represent a "chart"
woe betide
gold is going down
please do not ask me to stand on head
for a better view
as feet will not reach
as always

goldbug

Member

Post Number: 175
Registered: 02-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Wednesday, May 11, 2005 - 09:16 pm:

rederob,
don't want you standing on your head....

Its a WAR thing
Its a Nuke thing
Its a Bush thing
Its an OIL thing
Its a China thing
Its a deflation thing
Its a terrorism thing
Its a jewellery thing
Its an inflation thing
Its a stagflation thing
Its a safe haven thing
Its a GM and Ford thing
Its every BLOODY thing!!!
Its a housing bubble thing
Its a proxy to the Euro thing
Its a stock market bear thing
Its a Yuan re evaluation thing
Its an inverse to the $US thing
Its a market manipulation thing
Its a record high household debt thing
Its a US trade and budget deficit thing
Its a global gold production down thing
Its a Gordon Brown we told you so thing
Its a Greenspan your behind the curve thing
Its a Greenspan i dont know what your saying thing
Finally but not least...Its a VALUE thing...GOT GOLD... Regards GB .....to the MOON

rederob

Member

Post Number: 807
Registered: 10-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Thursday, May 12, 2005 - 08:26 am:

ok
good
got it
this thing
this gold thing
riding to the moon
with every lunar tic

goldbug

Member

Post Number: 176
Registered: 02-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Thursday, May 12, 2005 - 10:24 am:

THE THING!!

An American scientific expedition to the frozen wastes of the Antarctic is interrupted by a pair of seemingly mad Norwegians pursuing and shooting at a husky. The helicopter explodes in an accident, and the Norwegians are killed, leaving no explanation for the chase.

During the night, as the scientists look on in shock, the husky mutates and attacks the other dogs in the camp. The team soon realises that a bizarre alien life-form has found its way into their midst.

In the coming days - more pieces of the riddle are put together. Centuries ago - an alien spaceship had crash landed in the Antarctic. The pilot was thrown clear and eventually froze in the ice. The creature is eventually uncovered 100 000 years later by a group of Norwegian scientists who thaw the creature out. The alien comes to life and proves to be extremely hostile. It has the ability to alter its own cell structure to that of a consumed organism, and thus imitate the victim almost perfectly.

Now the 12 men of US Outpost #31 stand between the alien and total infection of the planet. They must destroy the creature and prevent it from reaching civilisation. The only problem is - can they trust each other - when there is no guarantee the next man is human?

greatdane

Member

Post Number: 184
Registered: 12-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Thursday, May 12, 2005 - 10:48 am:

The latest post seems to suggest that there are merits in investing in companies involved in bio tech research

Regards, GreatDane

goldbug

Member

Post Number: 177
Registered: 02-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Thursday, May 12, 2005 - 12:17 pm:

Mr Greatdane....
are you suggesting i should up my dose...
probably a good idea under the current situation

Technically speaking there appears to be a parting of ways with the POG ($US) chart and the Euro/$US chart.
The Euro/$US chart has broken the uptrend line that has been in place for a number of years...it still hasn't decided for sure, but .... the buck wants to move higher....
The POG ($US) chart is still some way off the uptrend line.

These two charts have moved in tandem for the last 3 years.
A parting of company is potentially on the cards..

We have a couple of main THINGS other than the usual THINGS that have attracted the attention of gold investors which should underpin POG going forward.
The North Korea / Iran nuke thing and
The Yuan re-evaluation thing

regards

gb

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any company that manufactures mind altering drugs...but you could do worse....

rederob

Member

Post Number: 809
Registered: 10-2002

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Thursday, May 12, 2005 - 06:28 pm:

The good news about POG is that with a stronger greenback of late, it's keeping its pecker up.
Tonight sees the greenback hitting on 2 month highs, but POG in euro terms is still holding at $333.33 (actually is 6cents higher, but the 3s look cute).
Even in Oz dollars POG is around mid AU$552 - and holding up well.
What is happening is that physical gold is being purchased regularly on weakness, so the speculators are having trouble collapsing the price.
It's interesting to note that if the current US monthly deficit at $55bn was reported a year ago there would be a flight to the exits: Whereas this year it's a welcome to our party!
The suits that analyse currency trends see the greenback having a tough time in the second half of 2005, so the goldbugs are tipping $475-500 peaks before the year is out.
Rather than bust out the bubbly, I'm going to sit in the bleaches, sip a quality tea, and watch gold slowly accumulate a winning score.
Might post a scorecard at weeks end.

justice

Member

Post Number: 352
Registered: 01-2003

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Votes: 0