Does the AUDUSD lead Gold??
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     lafee
Member
Username: lafee
Post Number: 255
Registered: 04-2003
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 02:39 pm: |  
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I was talking to the good Captain a few nights ago about the AUDUSD/GOLD relationship. Captain's position was that the AUDUSD PRICE LEADS THE GOLD PRICE. I believed the opposite had been occurring of late. We agreed to open the discussion on the forum to help determine the answer.
I have always believed that these kind of relationships are never static. Even so, I believe one can "momentum trade" a relationship until it stops working. With some luck the relationship will continue long enough to make some decent profits - enough to cover the inevitable drawdown when the relationship crashes.
So, what do others think of the AUDUSD Gold Relationship. Does one lead the other? How would one test to determine if the relationship does indeed exist or not?
Cheers
Laffee
If nobody can be certain of anything, how can I be certain of that?
Ayn Rand
When I was young people called me a gambler. As the scale of my operations increased, I became known as a speculator. Now I am called a banker. But I have been doing the same thing all the time.
Ernest Cassel
"My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know...." (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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hilarius
Member
Username: hilarius
Post Number: 1954
Registered: 04-2004
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 03:44 pm: |
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Greetings
If you can email me or post the data I can calculate and chart the relationship
With Best Wishes
Hilarius
I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities
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captain_chaza
Member
Username: captain_chaza
Post Number: 2236
Registered: 02-2003Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 03:46 pm: |
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Ahoy Officer Laffee
Sorry, I didn't get around to telling you on the night
I also like the confirmation of the CADUSD overnight as I sleep and time permits in this 24hour Great battle at sea on the Global Exchange between Men and Mice
To quote General Moshe Dayan (1967)
"Keep your Friends close but Keep your Enemies Closer"
IE: It is good to have a friend in another time zone
Salute and Gods' speed
"While we stop and think, we often miss our opportunity." Publilius Syrus, 1st century B.C.
"I believe the future is only the past again, entered through another gate."
Sir Arthur Wing Pinero 1893
"There are two times in a man's life when he should not speculate: When he can't afford it, and when he can." Mark Twain, 1897
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captain_chaza
Member
Username: captain_chaza
Post Number: 2237
Registered: 02-2003Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 04:26 pm: |
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Ahoy Dear Friar Hilarius
Trust me!
Don't trust anybody else but me when we go to sea!
Hopefully "ONE DAY" Admiral Col'n will find a suitabe/respected data supplier to answer all our needs
Salute and God's Speed
PS I am not holding my breath!
(Message edited by Captain_Chaza on November 13, 2006)
"While we stop and think, we often miss our opportunity." Publilius Syrus, 1st century B.C.
"I believe the future is only the past again, entered through another gate."
Sir Arthur Wing Pinero 1893
"There are two times in a man's life when he should not speculate: When he can't afford it, and when he can." Mark Twain, 1897
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lafee
Member
Username: lafee
Post Number: 256
Registered: 04-2003
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 06:45 pm: |
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If you can think in the inverse this shall suffice.
If nobody can be certain of anything, how can I be certain of that?
Ayn Rand
When I was young people called me a gambler. As the scale of my operations increased, I became known as a speculator. Now I am called a banker. But I have been doing the same thing all the time.
Ernest Cassel
"My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know...." (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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lafee
Member
Username: lafee
Post Number: 257
Registered: 04-2003
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Monday, November 13, 2006 - 08:12 pm: |
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j
If nobody can be certain of anything, how can I be certain of that?
Ayn Rand
When I was young people called me a gambler. As the scale of my operations increased, I became known as a speculator. Now I am called a banker. But I have been doing the same thing all the time.
Ernest Cassel
"My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know...." (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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