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button_presser
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Wednesday, February 04, 2004 - 11:14 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Just wondering if the IC team had in mind a 'build-your-own indicator' module. I would love to be able to personalise my own indicators as I have researched some interesting adaptations of the more common indicators available.
On the same topic, the filtering section would benefit from a 'build-your-own filter' module.

I am aware that Metastock has these features but have not yet come across any comments/opinions to do with them specifically.
Is Metastock worth a try? Any comments?

Thanks


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colin_twiggs
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BP

We have discussed the idea, but there is enough on our To Do list to keep us busy until 2005. Perhaps then we can look at it more seriously.

Colin


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williamat
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BP,
from discussions and reading Forum, it would seem that Amibroker (introduced by Bundy) and Market analyst which has been mentioned several times would both be worthy of your investigation. You can find them on the net by searching for the names, and they each have free trial periods.
Bill.


The difference between intelligence is this- intelligence will make you a good living. Charles C Kettering.

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mdees1
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Just wondering if any progress was made regarding a build your own indicator module???


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colin_twiggs
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No progress as yet. Our current development priorities are:
(1) Fibonacci Tools
(2) Stock Screener (upgrade)
(3) Indicators (upgrade)

(Don't worry Dug. Haven't forgotten VWAP. We are working on getting the data in place.)

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Hello Colin

It would be greatly appreciated if it could be possible to adjust the look back period for Volume Spike scanning ... eg 5 and 10 day look back options

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Roger,
Volume Spikes do have a look-back period. You can scan for volume spikes that occurred within the last x number of days.

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Friday, March 09, 2007 - 09:58 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Thanks for that Colin

I should have been much clearer in my request

What I was looking for was the ability to vary the length of the exponential moving average volume to as little as 10 or even 5 days

I just raised it because I saw you are in the process of upgrading the scanning tools

Apologies for my lack of clarity

Hilarius

PS I am in a group of users scanning for volume spikes and we would value the shorter moving average period so that our searches can be standardised ... and made less dependent on cumbersome downloading of data from brokers and Excel querying. We are keen to optimise our use of IC scans.


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Hilarius,
The 10-day or 5-day MA will be more volatile and therefore give a more uneven set of results: the same volume may be classed as a spike one day and not the next. Not what I think you are trying to achieve.

How do you want to use this filter?

Regards, Colin


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holycow
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Friday, March 09, 2007 - 11:10 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



I found volume spike to have a long lasting residual effect, especially in the early or midterm phase of a rallying market. It is an early alert that something is happening (or has happened) with the stock - explanation such as substantial ownership changing hand is one possibility, takeover ploy, M&A activity spilled into open market, etc are others.

To be able to back scan for vol spikes I guess could be useful for someone like me who subscribes to this "theory". The alternative is to keep a journal of unusual vol spikes for on going monitoring.


HC

"... I believe in Santa!"

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hilarius
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Saturday, March 10, 2007 - 10:52 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin

Thanks for the comment on the request for other options for the length of the volume moving average

A consensus has now developed in the user group to continue using your 50 day moving average

(I retain a personal desire to look at a 20 day moving average approximating 1 month of trading ... but will study how many extra or fewer results it gives before formally requesting it.)

However we now have a query about the way the 50 day moving average operates

The example I have is BOQ which appears in your 1.5 times listing, but on my simple average calculation is a 2.2 times stock

Would the difference between ema and sma really make that much difference? I guess it could but would value it greatly if you could check whether we are using the same volume data as IC

I am attaching a file of my BOQ 50 day sma calculation

With Best Wishes

Hilarius
application/vnd.ms-excelBOQ
boq volumes 70309.xls (19.5 k)


PS If anyone could attach the ema calculation to the file and reload it that would be very interesting information also ... my skills stop short of the ema formula


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Saturday, March 10, 2007 - 01:13 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,
Your Volume data appears lower than IC. Thursday your file shows volume of 249,657 while IC shows 300,390. It could be that you are picking up the 4pm closing volume whereas IC will include volume on after market trading.

Compare the attached file to your results on IC.
application/vnd.ms-excelboq
boq_volumes_70309-1057229.xls (27.1 k)


Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Saturday, March 10, 2007 - 05:09 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin

Thanks for the EMA calculation ... greatly appreciated

I've just downloaded the volumes for BOQ for 51 days from my online broker and only one day is different to my above Excel file, namely 26/2/07 which has dropped from 272,110 to 169,792

Other days do not seem to have changed from the figures which I download around 4.45 pm each day giving me the impression they do not update to the final figures which you have

I would like to view the final figures for BOQ for the period 27/12/06 to 9/3/07 inclusive to see how they compare to the 4.45 pm figures ... it seems that the later figures do give rise to higher average volumes and thus smaller ratios of spike volume to average volume

The difference seems to be sufficient to have pushed BOQ down from the 2.0 times group to the 1.5 times group

My ongoing problem is how to access the final volumes rather than the interim 4.45 pm ones, for all stocks, since I wish to build a database of volumes to use offline.

Any suggestions would be appreciated

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Monday, March 12, 2007 - 11:51 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,
How does the data compare to Yahoo?

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Friday, March 16, 2007 - 03:40 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Good Morning Colin

Herewith a file showing calculations of 50 day EMA of Volume for BOQ as at Friday 9th March using data from :-

(1) Online Broker
(2) Yahoo
(3) IC

In all 3 cases I get a result in which the actual volume is greater than 2 times the EMA, for Friday 9th March

However, I believe that in the IC Volume Scan for Friday 9th BOQ appeared only in the 1.5 times Scan

At this stage I can't recall the time of day I did the Friday scan, but it was after the 4pm charts had appeared for Friday

When I do the scan now with the significant volumes in the last four days BOQ has moved into your 2 times scan

However, the 2 times trigger was needed after last Friday's scan (9th March) for our current system to activate a BUY, while a 1.5 times result is not considered

As you can see a BUY signal after last Friday's trading would have given a very attractive entry

I am wondering whether you have any means of reconstructing the scan for last Friday, the 9th, to determine whether or not it was then truly a 1.5 times situation or a 2 times situation, per your methodology?

It makes a big difference to our system and I just hope I am not mistaken in recalling the 1.5 times result for BOQ when I did the scan after last Friday's trading

I really hope this is not a "wild goose chase" for you but the 1.5 times result is clearly in my mind and I did the scan a couple of times to confirm it. Unfortunately I did not keep a copy of the scan result in a watchlist.

Whether there is a technical issue causing the 1.5 times result versus my calculated 2, or if my calculation is wrong, I would like to resolve the problem

I am reasonably sure of all the facts as given above but apologise in advance if I am shown to be suffering from a brain malfunction ... which is always a possibility to consider

Sadly I was not under the influence of a cellared red wine or two at the time I did the maths ... that might have helped :-)

With Best Wishes

Hilarius

application/octet-streamboq
boq volume and ema of volume calculations.xls (53.2 k)



I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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hilarius
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Friday, March 16, 2007 - 03:46 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Chart of BOQ :-

boq chart


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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ohkoolnutz
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It's a good example how scans lag the action in (too) many cases. I bought BOQ on March 8 at $15.59 which was two days ahead of a possible scan result buy.


---
ohk

Lies, Damn Lies and Technical Analysis

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hilarius
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Friday, March 16, 2007 - 10:50 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



OHK

The data I have provided will hopefully enable Colin to determine whether there was a calculation error in the Friday 9th scan ... or whether my memory is at fault in recalling there was a 1.5 times volume spike ... when for me a 2 times volume spike would have been much more conclusive

So at this stage the maths need to be resolved ... a 2 times scan result on Friday 9th would have been just fine, from my perspective.

With Best Wishes


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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msparks
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Hi Hilarius
Looks like the chart shows it was less than 2 times but more than 1.5 times.

Are you questioning the scan result or the data for IC or the 50 ema ?
ema shows 307,000 and volume on friday 9th shows 537,000




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hilarius
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Friday, March 16, 2007 - 11:33 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



msparks

I am unclear how the 50day ema of volume is obtained if it is above 300,000 as you suggest

Figures I've collected in Excel give a 50 day ema under 300,000 using 3 sources (including IC Charts)

Where does 307,000 come from?

That seems a high figure giving (as you say) less than 2 times average volume

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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msparks
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Perhaps you calculated the Simple Moving Average

Shows 288,000 on chart with sma of volume.




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hilarius
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msparks

If you view the Excel worksheet above you will see that I calculated the Exponential Moving Average using data from 3 sources :-

(1) Online Broker
(2) Yahoo
(3) Incredible Charts (as per BOQ Daily Chart volumes)

All three sources gave a 50 Day EMA above 2 on Friday 9th

Thus my question why (to the best of my knowledge) BOQ appeared only in the 1.5 times scan result

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Saturday, March 17, 2007 - 01:53 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,

For an accurate EMA you have to calculate from the beginning of the data -- not just the last 50 days. 50-Day VMA was +/- 286,000 on March 9 according to the chart; so if we divide volume of 537.8 by 286 we arrive at a ratio of 1.88.

Regards,
Colin

boq


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hilarius
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Bingo !!!

That is exactly the explanation I was looking for !!!

Thanks, Colin

Intuitively a 50 day moving average that is longer than 50 days seems an oddity .. but I guess that is why they call it exponential :-)

I understand now that 50 days applies to part of the formula and that the length of the whole calculation is >50

So for BHP does the exponential ema go back 100 years?

Just wondering !!!

Your Ever Curious Friar

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Roger,

After a reasonable period of time, say two or three years, the differences become insignificant. We calculate from the start of our data which is 15 years.

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Hi Colin

Thanks for the various items of information you have provided ... it has been an interesting learning curve

I probably do need to make a request for a more responsive 2 times volume scan given the fact that long term price history pushed the BOQ volume spike down below 2

A spike above 2 resulted from a Simple 50 day moving average, and from my truncated "Exponential" view using a mere 50 days data

Perhaps the option of a Simple Moving Average 50 day 2 times spike would be worth considering?

It certainly would have given a most attractive trigger to buy BOQ following Friday 9th March

I was sorry to miss the chance to enter such a superb Queensland company using the IC 2 times scan which has been adopted with considerable affection by the user group looking at volume/price scans !!!

Our affection for it would have been still greater if the scan had got us into one of the best potential trades in BOQ in recent times, in an otherwise difficult market

May I organise a week, or a month ... or if need be ... a year of prayer at the Friary for a 2 times Simple Average Volume scanning option?

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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msparks
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EMA OF VOLUME


SMA OF VOLUME



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hilarius
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Hello msparks

I am not sure how the SMA in your above chart is calculated

If you take the last 50 days of data in my above spreadsheet the following answers are obtained

Online Broker 50 Days Volume = 12,583,638 = 271,673 per day
Yahoo Finance 50 Days Volume = 12,684,200 = 253,684 per day
IC Charts vol 50 Days Volume = 12,857,470 = 257,149 per day

This is my evidence for 2 times average volume on Friday 9th March

I realise that IC currently uses EMA ... but a simple average scan should have >2 times average volume on my calculations

Then again I trained by counting one potato too many and having to count them all again

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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msparks
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Hilarius
I think a sma is sum last 50, and divide by 50.

Anyway according to the charts neither were in the > 2 times volume zone so the scanner is working fine and the scanner uses the ema of volume.

The issue you need clarification from Colin about is "why do the charts show different results to a manual spreadsheet calculation ?


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hilarius
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msparks !!

We appear to agree on how SMA is usually calculated, but I don't understand how the SMA is calculated in your chart

We also agree that the IC scanner currently uses EMA

My point is that a genuine opportunity was missed in the case of BOQ because the 2 times EMA result seems to be too heavily influenced by old out of date volumes

I am looking for a scan that defines "2 times" by looking at relatively recent events, not relatively far distant events ... so that outstanding opportunities such as the recent BOQ price appreciation are not ignored by a more current form of 2 times scan

Since we agree on all the facts as they are (other than the mysterious SMA in your chart) can we also agree that in life there is always the chance to improve, rather than accept that what is must always be?

I hope we can

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 04:16 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,

I would have thought that you need a stable benchmark (e.g. 50-day EMA of volume) but greater flexibility in terms of setting the volume spike level (e.g. user input of spike level at levels like 1.8 times or 2.5 times).

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 04:38 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin

The operating principle you've given is correct, but the limitation to EMA in practice leaves a little to be desired

The concern is that the "stable" benchmark in the case of an EMA seems to incorporate a reference period and volumes well before the latest 50 days

This appears to have the effect of increasing average volume in a way that a simple moving average avoids, at least in the BOQ example and perhaps with others also

A simple moving average in combination with the 2 times option would have given an attractive signal on 9th March for entry into BOQ

The EMA by contrast gave no such signal in a 2 times scan

I've tried persuading the user group that a 1.5 times scan would have worked but some members are adamant that 2 times is the minimum we should use, and it is also clear that BOQ had a spike of 2 times in simple average terms.

This being the case only a Simple Moving Average with a 2 times option would have provided the scan result which BOQ appeared to deserve

My concern in summary is that old volumes are having too much influence on the only available 2 times option, for our purposes

This practical problem would be overcome if a 50 Day Simple Moving Volume Average and 2 times spike scan could be offered

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 05:08 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,

The problem with simple moving averages is their tendency to "bark twice" -- once when unusual data is added and again when it is dropped at the end of the time period.

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 05:34 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin

I cannot disagree ... what you say is statistically sound, but still seems to give a disappointing result

It seems that the smoothing applied in the case of BOQ led to a higher average than the simple average data, which was relatively uncontaminated as I see it, this time around

So in curing one problem another was created, namely the missing of the BOQ opportunity in the 2 times scan, even though the relatively uncontaminated volumes for BOQ seemed to call for attention when the volume doubled on a 50 day view

The question "What is double volume" is certainly a tricky one, but adding too many past volumes seems to create as much difficulty as it solves

I recognise the argument that a large spike during the 50 days has its own contaminating effect, but so does the consideration of older higher volumes during a 50 day quiet period

I can't avoid the thought that BOQ really did double its volume, but I don't have an immediate solution that would fit all cases

One of the best price jumps by a bank in recent times was missed by the user group ... and yet you offer a cogent well argued reason for rejecting the use of a simple moving average

This dilemma needs to rest at the bottom of the swamp until a suitable light bulb is found to light the way forward

You have extinguished my candle of hope, and I retire to the solitude of Evening Prayer

With Best Wishes

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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colin_twiggs
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 05:44 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Roger,

Would a 10-day or 20-day EMA of volume be more suited to your purposes?

Regards,
Colin


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hilarius
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Monday, March 19, 2007 - 06:19 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin

My candle just flickered back to life !!

I believe those options would be most helpful, and may well have captured BOQ in the double volume scan !!!

I would use both ... but either would be good to have

Returning to bended knees in thanks, if either or both become possible :-)

Hilarius


I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

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ohkoolnutz
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Username: ohkoolnutz

Post Number: 545
Registered: 10-2005

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I see people argue that the scan was not suited for finding this single case so the scan must be at fault while ignoring the fact that the scan continues to churn out results (that could be quite profitable).

The IC scans are static and a strict framework and if a trader operates in a different framework then the scans become useless to this person. If you change the framework then you change the target group this framework provides use to.

I think this thread highlights again that different people see things differently and IC may need to move to a programming API that allows the users to write their own scans.







---
ohk

Lies, Damn Lies and Technical Analysis

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prislys
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Username: prislys

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Thursday, July 26, 2007 - 11:12 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Is it 4 months since this thread hibernated ?

Hi Colin,
I'm interested in a simple indicator line to reflect (say) (i) portfolio total historical value versus an existing IC individual stock,
(ii)user forecasted price versus am existing IC generated trend line, etc...
Is this sort of user maintained data easily added to IC arsenal ?
Cheers,
prislys

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