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The Squawk Box

Chart Forum » Stocks - ASX: long term & fundamental » The Squawk Box

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 55
Registered: 08-2004

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Wednesday, September 15, 2004 - 09:21 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Got something to say? Do it here...

Politics and consumption
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Just got this thought flashed through my mind - both Labour and the Liberal parties are giving out bribes to the voters, I reckon regardless whichever party winning the election, there will be more pocket money in the general household and hence greater consumption.

May be the retail sector is worth a look now in anticipation of a consumption boom which is not unlike of the recent $600 give-away by the government - both WOW and CML and in fact most retailers got a big boost in their earning.

Just a thought.


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holycow
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Post Number: 56
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Wednesday, September 15, 2004 - 09:29 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



I have a thread on QBE elsewhere... thought I will continue my crystal ball gazing over here. Here is another new threat from Ivan the Terrible.

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20040914/ap_on_re_us/vulnerable_new_ orleans_1


The point is, no one can categorically say now there won't be more hurricane coming its way to the US of A and do a bigdeal of damage.

How do you classify this kind of natural disaster/risk? Would you consider you are taking on more risk by say investing in insurance company even assuming they are trending nicely and is making big $$$ at the moment?

(note I am not bagging QBE, I am only asking question with regard to the general insurance sector at the moment.)







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holycow
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Wednesday, September 15, 2004 - 06:03 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



SEV - Channel Seven

Took down this news this morning - http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2004/09/14/1094927582460.html

It has become a great short potential. However one needs to watch the possibility of rebounce when a big buyer take out the 12% on offer.

Cheers.

PS: I don't own SEV and won't be going short - not when the index is moving up!


"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Post Number: 66
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and on Insurance sector...

"Insurers get the nod

The strength of the insurance sector's earnings has convinced analysts. UBS analyst Frank Costigan says the "insurance cycle can remain stronger for longer" after previously expecting the June results to signal the top of the cycle. He raised UBS's sector position to overweight after an earnings season in which he says all non-life insurers outperformed the broader market, noting "this strong performance could be maintained".

He now expects earnings to be 7 to 9 per cent above previous estimates citing the robust premiums, stable claims rates and falling expenses."


"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Post Number: 68
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Thursday, September 16, 2004 - 09:20 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Seven bashing continues...

From the Age

The Nine Network won the overall ratings for the week ending 12 september, with a 30.9% audience share. The Ten Network also outperformed Seven, with a 28.6% audience share. The Seven Network's audience share was just 21.4%, the ABC attracted 14.6% of viewers, and SBS, the Special Broadcasting Service, rated 4.5%.

Kinda having a feeling the Red Indians are closing in on the Seven wagons. Not good at all.


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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