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Squawk+moo #2

Chart Forum » Stocks - ASX: long term & fundamental » The Squawk Box » Squawk+moo #2

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 292
Registered: 08-2004

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Friday, November 05, 2004 - 08:33 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



horseplay
horse 2


*** fashion week in Melbourne - never question why and what, just be prepared... you might just be lucky to witness a Xmas tree headgear somewhere.


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 293
Registered: 08-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 01:06 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



There is something seriously wrong with Dave... he's everywhere!

Dave with Korean babe
d1
Dave the babe

Dave the Sumo wrestler
d3
Dave the Superman
d4
Dave at the Normandy Beach
d5
Dave the American Idol Judge
d6
Indiana Dave
d7
...?
d8
Fat Dave
d9
Dave the Jackass
d11

... I think Dave needs help...







HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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dogalog
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Username: dogalog

Post Number: 469
Registered: 03-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 03:16 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Is dave Hershy?
could it be spider?
Tell me that ain't Ann,hc.
in the first set,who's that 2nd one who's been to June Daly Watkins to learn to put her hand so fetchingly to her head?
East Melb.Traders Group should get her to boost attendance.Bet wombat would call past then.Why don't you go to their meetings too,Holy?
i'm grinning,you?


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ann
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Username: ann

Post Number: 230
Registered: 04-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 03:46 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Now just stop posting jr, you know very well you am I. Looks like I am HC as well, yes as well as ......no I can't be Dave 'cos they know I don't look like Dave, nor the attractive ladies above.

That explains the drop off in attendances at the recent meetings, everyone is actually ME.

I can see it won't be long before Hershy needs a psychiatrist for himself, it is only a matter of time and he will start thinking he is me!!!! Or maybe I am him no, yes, well perhaps oh dear and everyone knows I am easily confused. I think I shall just have a lie down and let........ Oh no I can't, I have to keep the forum going don't I???

Goodbye for now
Jane


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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 296
Registered: 08-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 03:52 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Dr.D,

Grinning? You bet! :-)

On trader group thingy - I think I don't fit in. You see, I am a vegetarian...


Cheers.


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 297
Registered: 08-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 03:53 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Tribute to GWB and his American supporters...

dm


... from the poms


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 298
Registered: 08-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 04:07 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Ann aka Dr.D aka OW aka Spider aka...,

I think I am the authority in matter such as this and I am willing to stand in / stand out /stand in between /stand in front of everyone involves that I, HC, the vegetarian cow, categorically verify and confirm as well as had verified and confirmed (sometimes back) to my satisfaction that you, Ann actually is me HC; and Dr.D is my alter-ego and OW is HC in disguise but also acting part time (sometimes) as Spider whilst Spider is actually PeterLoh and Peter, of course is another HC that is living in Sydney...

The only person involves here that is not me, which I can positively confirm and would like to deny but couldn't, is Colin - he is NOT HC! But I am not so sure about Robin though...

R U me? Robin? Hello?

(Message edited by holycow on November 06, 2004)


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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ann
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Username: ann

Post Number: 232
Registered: 04-2004

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Saturday, November 06, 2004 - 04:34 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



HC thank you so much for clarifying all of that. It is so good to know who oneself truly is.

All this time I thought I was just me but no, so many exciting personalities! ahhh ain't life grand!!!!

A+
A-
A?


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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 299
Registered: 08-2004

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Sunday, November 07, 2004 - 09:52 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Ahem... Ann,

Your welcome. Now that I know I am you it kinda explain why I look soooo gooood in the mirror lately... :-)


Cheers and have a good day.


Ps: anything less than an A+ is considered humiliating because I think you know (and I know) that WE are good. That is, except Colin because he is not HC. In that case, give him a B+... I know it's unfair, but we do have the need of someone to carry drink and wipe the bench in between breaks... Oops, gotta duck - Colin is heading here! Duh!


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 300
Registered: 08-2004

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Sunday, November 07, 2004 - 10:07 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



How John Kerry lost his election - he was asked to demonstrate how he'd go about scratching his lower back - and he showed everyone how it's done... and lost it!

kerry


... the niggling feeling I have is the Yanks must be pretty tired of candidate with low IQ...

For example, Jimmy Carter is widely believed to have a brain of the size of a peanut, Ronald Reagan's the size of a jelly bean; Bill Clinton's the size of a cigar, and GWB's the size of a coconut...

Did you just ask "coconut?"... yes, coconut - it looks big outside but empty inside - now you know why the Daily Mirror is fuming...


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 301
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Sunday, November 07, 2004 - 10:08 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Yo! Be sensitive...

cow


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 315
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Monday, November 08, 2004 - 09:02 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



http://finance.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,4057,11263831%255E14302,00.html
Yo! Ye overconfident stock trader/investor, watch your testosterone...

...overconfidence was greatest when people were dealing with more difficult tasks, or making forecasts about factors that are not easily predicted and when the cause and effect is not clear and immediate.

Selecting which shares will outperform the overall market is a difficult task. The chance of success is relatively low and the feedback is noisy because it is not easy to differentiate between luck and skill.

So stock picking is a good example of the type of activity in which people are likely to be highly overconfident. That is, people overestimate the chance that their assessment of a company's value is more accurate than the overall market assessment.

Overconfident investors tend to trade excessively, have unrealistic beliefs about how high their returns will be and also about the level of precision that can be obtained when making forecasts.

They also spend enormous amounts of time, effort and money in the process of gathering investment information. As a result, not only do people act too readily on limited information, but they also are too willing to act when they are wrong.



pic

... disclaimer - that guy in the pic is not me... I have much bigger muscle than him... just in case you wonder...


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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holycow
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Username: holycow

Post Number: 322
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Monday, November 08, 2004 - 12:55 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



I'd just come back from reading a thread in another place discussing (Market) Randomness and Predictability... I have to say I walk away dazed and bewildered. I couldn't believe what I have just observed - "so much energy and emotional capital is wasted on something so trivial for so little in return!"

I am now looking at myself in the mirror and wondering why I bother to read them in the first place... well they make good reading and well they have put up a mirror for themselves and they said "we are smart, intelligent and very sophisticated traders/investors... and we all have the same huge ego as you, HC" - this observation is gratifying at the same time spells opportunity because as long as every smart trader thinks and believes they are smart and are ego driven, I think, the market is not that invincible!

They have also brought back some far away memory - when I was in middle school and was taught algebra the first time I got a mind block in that no matter how the teacher explained it, I just couldn't grasp the concept, but while I couldn't quite understand the concept as well as its application, I have no problem solving the equation! In the end, the young teacher gave up and he told me something like this: "young HC, listen to me, stop trying to understand but just accept the concept, treat this as 1+1=2, something you don't question, when the time comes, when you are ready, you will understand... trust me!"

A few years later, I got it and I understood exactly where and why I didn't get it in the first place. And for a while I was a "practitioner/technician" in that I could do the sum, solved the equation, etc without really understanding fully the concept as well as its "real life" applications - but that didn't stop me from functioning and progressing and learning and growing, blah blah blah...

So being a chartist or TA practitioner/technician is something like this - you do it, day in day out; some day you get it, some day you don't; when you missed, you try to understand why, but you keep at it... some day, you will get it! IT WILL COME TO YOU!

But let's say you are debating and are arguing on some empirical or fundamental concept such as market randomness... take this advice from my young teacher - don't waste your time, stop trying to understand the universe and its origin, this market is man made, if it's man made, there is a good chance that it is not random, at the same time, there is a good chance that it could be man-madely random, who knows and who cares - you just keep practising your "EDGE", and one day you will understand and if you don't, don't be bothered because as a practitioner/techinician you don't need to know if the market is random or not to make money. It's just like the people in the old day don't know the earth is round and is not flat but they still live and procreate and prosper...

It's the bottom line that counts - for a thousand bucks - I will give up my view/position on market randomness, I will support whoever pays me; if a thousand is too much to ask I am quite happy to settle for $50 - any taker?


HC

"... if you've got a chart, I have an opinion!"

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