BHP

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hilarius

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Post Number: 683
Registered: 04-2004

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Sunday, April 17, 2005 - 08:03 am:

Just a drop in the ocean :-)

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

gazelle

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Saturday, April 30, 2005 - 12:31 pm:

Technical juncture point at 1575
420PPH 87 - 1950PPH = 1/4 S1 at 1575
492PPL 98 - 1950PPH = 1/4 S1 at 1578
1170PPH 02 - 1950PPH = 1/2 S1 at 1570
Average = 1574

Recent selloff has pullbacked to the 45 deg trendline in alignment with 1575 04 Support zone . The 52 week cycle has just been completed from May 04 low - 1584 low in conjunction with squaring of price and time co - ordinates
360pts/36 days .
on an interim time cycle we are 60 deg from 1730 PPH and approx 100 days from 1570PPH .
The last large move down of this magnitude in 02 ran down approx 350pts and our recent correction is proportional in range but not in time - 1575 is a key lv }}

rederob

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Post Number: 877
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Saturday, June 04, 2005 - 11:01 pm:

by crikey
i ran the gps over gazelle's numbers and was lost
i bounced off support (ie, bumped into a lamp post)
and then remembered Bro Hilarius's desire for BHP under $16
that was a month ago
and BHP jumped a grand 6% this week alone
subsuming WMC it becomes world's biggest miner, has world's largest reserves of uranium, second largest miner of copper and third largest miner of nickel (also has world's largest silver mine at Cannington in Qld)
once WMC is fully integrated i believe BHP will have a tilt at Woodside, and win - say 2007/8
am looking at this run north to breach $20 after annual report captures investor imaginations in a big way

william

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Tuesday, June 07, 2005 - 01:33 pm:

During this week BHP will pay out $5.5 billion in cash to accepting WMR shareholders. Where is this cash going to go? If you accept that a large portion of it will find its way back into the assets from which it came, then BHP is in for some "interesting trading". BHP trades approximately $350 million per day. Cash in the hands of ex-WMR shareholder will be equivalent to the total value of three weeks of BHP trading. The remaining WMR shareholders could add another 2 week to this.

How much will be reinvested in BHP? 20%? 50%? I dont know. The market will tell me during the next 10 trading days.

Watch BHP!

Regards William

rederob

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Tuesday, June 07, 2005 - 04:38 pm:

william
that's a wonderful spin on the cash side
so please keep us informed as she goes

gazelle
if you paint a picture (a CHART) then you won't need to dazzle me with 1000 words
are you able to oblige with either or both

anticipatory thanks

gazelle

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Tuesday, June 07, 2005 - 07:59 pm:

My ASX data ran out several weeks ago and I am in the process of organising another feed which I wont be rushing as Ive just shelled out on Mclarenn products leaving me flat broke - Sometimes I will look for primary and secondary time cycles to move into alignment which happens sometimes as each trading instrument will vibrate on its own frequency - In a TP setup there me be a two year - 1 year - 90 day - 45 day cycles all moving into alignment simultaneously which will provide us with a timing componet that must be viewed within the prevailing direction of the trend - this can get seriously complicated as there are cycles that operate on calender days and some occur on trading days 33 trading days = 45 calender days 66 trading days = 90 calender days and sometimes these cycles converge on a 1/2 price retracement and so fourth - it is an intersting system and sometimes there is just too much technical data to analyse so I have developed a checklist when skoping out setups .

BHP - going back in data we can understand the counters which is paramount in properly understanding and determining primary trend - on a weekly chrt the counter from mid 97 throught to 98 low was 434 points - the next counter in the primary cycle was the 02 high through to 03 low was 354 and the recent counter from 1958 high was 400 points which is pretty close to previous counters

BHP vibrates to a 45 degree cycle - from 830 PPL we ran 45 weeks into 1130 PPL and then 45 weeks into 1958 top - this geometric frequency is not solely indigenous to BHP as other instruments will run on these cycles also dependent upon prevailing price structure etc . The 45 deg cycle is proportinately relative and can occur in 45 day increments also - there are several time cycles evident on BHP but too detailed to discuss .

The blowoof move into 1958 top was on a 45 day cycle / 455 points which squares TP into the high
The following move down into 1556 was a 45 deg cycle as well .
1958 - 1755 = 203 1755 - 203 = 1552

Tried posting a chart - the first ones worked OK and scaling was not adjusted - may try again

Regards Gazelle

hilarius

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Wednesday, August 24, 2005 - 04:40 pm:

Good Afternoon

I am celebrating the first day of the rest of my life with a chart of one my favourite stocks

If I told you my price target by this time next year you would consider me naughty ... which of course I never am

It is just the sheer beauty of the trend that has me enthralled

Not to mention the fundamentals .... shhh ... they don't really matter ... because we all know that good fundamentals make no difference to trends .... don't we?

Blessings and Peace

Hilarius

bhp

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

eblode

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Post Number: 129
Registered: 11-2002

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 11:10 am:

Hilarius,
Blessings and Peace to you too.
You must of heard the saying "buy on rumour, sell on fact" Now why would BHP with such an outstanding earnings report be sold down to $19.90 only a few days after it hit over $21.30????
What is the logical answer or is the market simply illogical?
Peace be with you,
Eugenio

archer

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 02:33 pm:

Everyone bought in anticipation of a good result
When the good result came out there was no-one left to buy
as all the money was spent so down it goes

chriso

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 02:57 pm:

Now that the good result is out and everyone has done all their pre result buying and post result selling.It's done what trending shares do, go up and retrace back to test a support line or a trend line in the case of BHP.

Chris

eblode

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 03:04 pm:

Truth is stranger than fiction.
Thanks Archer and Chris. For a moment there I thought I was going nuts. Anyway I back in the money with BHP.
Eugenio

susieq

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 03:14 pm:

Don't think this move is over. BHP leads the market up and BHP will lead the market down into another correction. It is THE Key stock.

Think we will see $18.50 before it surpassess $22 IMHO. This stock has been in my long term portfolio since $8 mark and I expect it to rise even further.

BHP

Cheers

SusieQ

archer

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Friday, August 26, 2005 - 03:16 pm:

Do take note of the much increased volatility
Most often seen in forming tops
Respect that trendline

vermante

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Monday, September 05, 2005 - 06:39 pm: