Archive through October 03, 2007

Chart Forum » Hilarius' Hall Of Fame » Glad Tidings of Great Joy I Bring » Archive through October 03, 2007

«« « Previous Next » »»

Author

Message

keith_s

Member

Post Number: 24
Registered: 06-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 09, 2007 - 02:46 pm:

Hi Hilarius

Have you watched for another seasonal market change
around 8th September 2007?

Best regards

K S

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 2972
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 09, 2007 - 05:46 pm:

Hello Keith

I am torn between two views :-

(1) The strong cross over of the short term green averages above the red long term averages may still have some way to go in the up direction

(2) After two weeks of predominantly green candles and a large drop in the USA on Friday we may be due for a retracement

How do you measure your seasonal turns?

With considerable interest in your message

Hilarius

xao

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

keith_s

Member

Post Number: 25
Registered: 06-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 09, 2007 - 06:09 pm:

Hi Hilarius

The correction from 8 Sep to 23 Sep 2007 could be a strong downturn. I just wait to buy those in the ASX 100.

Anyway this information was from Asia and I am not 100%sure about its accuracy.

Best regards

K S

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 2974
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 09, 2007 - 06:16 pm:

Keith

If you could be a little more specific about the source of the calculation and how the calculation is done it would be helpful

I don't disagree with the likelihood of another downward leg by the market

A key point for me is whether the next low forms above or below the mid August low

Cheers, Hilarius

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

keith_s

Member

Post Number: 26
Registered: 06-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 09, 2007 - 07:12 pm:

Hilarius

What I know that they used a theory similar to W D Gann's about the seasonal market change and they never mentioned the calculation. I just wonder whether its a guarded secret.

Regards

K S

smallworld

Member

Post Number: 645
Registered: 01-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Friday, September 14, 2007 - 08:00 pm:

Ticker	Trade	Date	Price	Ex. date	Ex. Price	Shares	Cost	Value
OMH	Long	27/08/2007	1.105	28/08/2007	1.15	90,498	100,033	104,040
PPG	Long	27/08/2007	0.505	28/08/2007	0.5	198,020	100,033	98,977
ESS	Long	27/08/2007	1.1	29/08/2007	1.06	90,909	100,033	96,331
DOM	Long	30/08/2007	2.9	31/08/2007	2.9	34,483	100,034	99,968
OMH	Long	31/08/2007	1.275	3/09/2007	1.35	78431.4	100,033	105,849
RIV	Long	31/08/2007	3.53	3/09/2007	3.76	28328.6	100,034	106,484
NXS	Long	31/08/2007	1.725	3/09/2007	1.83	57971	100,033	106,054
RDR	Long	4/09/2007	0.67	6/09/2007	0.65	149254	100,033	96,982
DOM	Long	10/09/2007	3.31	14/09/2007	3.19	30211.5	100,035	96,343
GGP	Open Long	5/09/2007	0.33	14/09/2007	0.355	303030	100,033	107,576
SDL	Open Long	12/09/2007	0.53	14/09/2007	0.615	188679	100,033	116,038
MML	Open Long	12/09/2007	1.47	14/09/2007	1.41	68027.2	100,033	95,918
CUO	Open Long	12/09/2007	0.99	14/09/2007	0.995	1.01E+05	100,033	100,505
CUE	Open Long	14/09/2007	0.25	14/09/2007	0.245	400000	100,033	98,000

Ending capital = 1189911
Ending Cash = 671874

Rugby is just a game, it isnt a matter of life or death, it is more important that that

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 3009
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 09:57 pm:

Chart below is update for the latest week

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

smallworld

Member

Post Number: 647
Registered: 01-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 10:10 pm:

H,
My result is not quite right, did you receive my spreadsheet?
Cheers
SW

Rugby is just a game, it isnt a matter of life or death, it is more important that that

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 3011
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 10:23 pm:

Smallworld

I had a crash in my Outlook Express system and had to download recovery software ... recovery not yet complete

Please mention the figure and I will adjust the chart

My apology

Hilarius

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

philr

Member

Post Number: 244
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 10:29 pm:

Hilarius

Thanks for the update. Looks like I am making a little progress. I'm sick of being at the pointy end of that graph.

I intend to leave my selections the same until the end of the year to see how they go without all the chopping and changing that some members do. I realize I could probably get better results that way. But as I'm impulsive by nature and would have sold already in the real world this will be a good experiment without risking any capital.

Phil

** Let blockheads read what blockheads wrote.
Warren Buffett

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 3012
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 10:41 pm:

Smallworld

I've just noted your message above

Would everyone please note Smallworld's bar has been raised to $'000s 1,190

Hoping real life percentage gains are good too!

Or are they real life figures ??? :-)

Hilarius

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

hilarius

Member

Post Number: 3013
Registered: 04-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 11:00 pm:

OOPS

Correction for Smallworld and Major Re-Ranking for Surferdude :-

pp2

I come in peace to share my thoughts and to shine my candle light on possible long term opportunities

smallworld

Member

Post Number: 648
Registered: 01-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 11:00 pm:

Real life is very good, thanks - No much sleep though.
Portfolio since we started, note that I'm still some way off my high in July

Rugby is just a game, it isnt a matter of life or death, it is more important that that

msparks

Member

Post Number: 1076
Registered: 10-2004

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0


Sunday, September 16, 2007 - 11:40 pm:

5 out of 18 have a positive outcome.
27%
Looks like cash is the winner on average atmo.

Where is Mr Cash anyhow, he is paying good short term rates now, but no guarantee you get the cash back , right !!!

Lafee's index trading is the only portfolio i envy at the moment, just wish they would stop reversing and dropping me off before they sail a hundred points the other way, if i didn't know better, i would swear they are watching me!!! If i take the stop loss it reverses, if i ignore the stop it just keeps going until the pain level is unbearable i have to stop out.

Incredibly Unbelievable i Know.

007

Member

Post Number: 576
Registered: 05-2005

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0