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     i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 243
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Wednesday, February 05, 2003 - 08:09 pm: |  
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Hi Colin, Robin and Forum Members
Following my conquest of Gaul, I have developed a passion for UK stocks, and especially for the Queen Mother's Bank ... The Royal Bank of Scotland.
I am using this UK stock to unveil my quartile analysis which essentially looks for selling opportunities in the top quartile of a rising or level trend (Quartile 1) and buying opportunities in the bottom quartile of a falling or level trend. (Quartile 4).
Apart from the closing stock price the quartile bands based on the closing prices are smoothed and separated by 1 Standard Deviation.
Conceptually the overwhelming majority of transactions should occur between the two outermost boundaries.
If possible it would be great to have a Forum for UK stocks as these are traded in much more respectable hours (for Australians and Romans) than US stocks.
In the meantime the Queen Mother and I invite you to comment on the application of this method of improving entry and exit points.
Your Beloved and Ever Caring Emperor
Claudius
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 244
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Wednesday, February 05, 2003 - 08:18 pm: |
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PS to the Forum
Just to assure you all that the system is fully tested and operational I just traded a massive 10 shares in the dear old Queen Mother's Bank ...
Bought at 1369.50 and sold at 1375 as they moved up from Quartile 4 into Quartile 3 on the 1 Minute Deal for Free Chart.
The net proceeds of this world shaking trade (a whole 55p) are at this very moment on their way to the Imperial Treasury.
With Boundless Blessings to my Faithful Flock
Silly Old Claudius
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 245
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Wednesday, February 05, 2003 - 08:44 pm: |
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I hope you all got in quickly ... they are now 1382 and hot-footing it towards the median.
Above the median means selling time is approaching(especially in the top Quartile ... Quartile 1) ... unless the underlying smoothed trend is steep ... in which case you could hang on until the top of the roller coaster.
With the the FTSE the way it is we need to be nimble little Romans ...
Pillage ... Plunder ... and oops ...
This is a polite forum
See you at the Changing of the Guard at Buckingham Palace?
Silly Old Claudius
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colin_twiggs
Member
Username: colin_twiggs
Post Number: 270
Registered: 09-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Thursday, February 06, 2003 - 06:29 pm: |
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Claudius
Have you looked at the longer term?
A to B
D to E
What happens if you fit your quartile analysis to this time frame?
Colin
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colin_twiggs
Member
Username: colin_twiggs
Post Number: 271
Registered: 09-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Thursday, February 06, 2003 - 06:33 pm: |
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Claudius
P.S. Thanks for the suggestion. We will open a new Topic.
Colin
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 251
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Friday, February 07, 2003 - 01:17 pm: |
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Hello Colin
I have sent a message to Her Majesty (the current one) nominating you for an Imperial Knighthood ... the British Empire of course ... since mine is now somewhat decayed.
Even if you are a staunch republican I know she won't mind having you for a cup of tea and a gong.
In fact I would not be surprised if she logs on to Incredible Charts in the quiet of the Royal Apartments while her consort is asleep.
In the meantime I really want to thank you for launching the UK stocks forum ... a sterling addition to your web site ... if I may so ...
And just to help the cause along ... there is a Barclays thread still tucked away on your ASX list which may like to snuggle up alongside the Royal Bank, here in this list.
You ask a very good question about the longer term implications of quartile analysis ... but I thought initially I would throw one in for the day traders
In response to your inquiry I will try to hang, draw and quarter the British banks for you ... using a longer term view ...
Watch this space
Your Devoted Apostle
Claudius
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the_snowman
Member
Username: the_snowman
Post Number: 49
Registered: 02-2003Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Saturday, March 15, 2003 - 07:47 pm: |
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Claudius,
Have you drank too much wine & gone to sleep on us, great emperor? How about an update on the Royal Bank chart and how the quartile analysis is progressing, please. And can you tell me what software that is you are using, and indeed, where I may find a list of what makes up the 100 stocks in the FTSE 100. In the meantime, I shall search the internet.
Thanks, John
The objective of technical analysis is to identify those market conditions and the specific trading strategies that have a high probability of success.
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 263
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Saturday, March 15, 2003 - 09:38 pm: |
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Hello John
Some Quick Answers
Have you drank too much wine & gone to sleep on us, great emperor?
(1) Yes
How about an update on the Royal Bank chart and how the quartile analysis is progressing, please.
(2) Soon ... just gathering my wits together ... not a long task as very few wits to gather
And can you tell me what software that is you are using,
(3) http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/q?d=c&c=&k=c1&t=1d&s=rbs.l&a=v&p=s&l=on&z=m&q=l&x=on
and thence to Excel where the chart is produced
(Yahoo provides an Excel download option for their historical chart data)
and indeed, where I may find a list of what makes up the 100 stocks in the FTSE 100.
(4) http://money.cnn.com/markets/europe/ftse100.html
Blessings to all my dear flock
I_Claudius
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smithie
Member
Username: smithie
Post Number: 29
Registered: 09-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Thursday, March 20, 2003 - 05:29 pm: |
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Hello i Claudius,
Just reading your thread and wondering
a)why do you trade the UK market?
b)Is our market not enough of a challenge for you?
Did you like the way I labelled my questions for you, for ease of answering?
Good luck anyway, sorry no such thing involved in trading.
Smithie
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 278
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Thursday, March 20, 2003 - 07:58 pm: |
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Hello Smithie
Thank you for labelling your questions alphabetically and not asking too many ... I can barely manage to get past (b) when challenged viticulturally.
(a) The UK market intraday trends seem to be clearer and less erratic than ASX stocks ...
(b) I do like a challenge ... AMP, BIL, SRP and some others I could name have been highly challenging .. I've bought recently with good results.
I tend to anticipate Weinstein Stage 2 a little earlier than I should ... how's that for rising to a challenge?
Silly Old Claudius
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 279
Registered: 11-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Thursday, March 20, 2003 - 08:01 pm: |
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Also Smithie
I've been slipping across the channel for brief flirtations with Banque Nationale de Paris and Deutsche Bank
Why not join me for a cafe au lait on the banks of the Seine one evening?
Silly Old Claudius
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smithie
Member
Username: smithie
Post Number: 30
Registered: 09-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0
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| | Friday, March 21, 2003 - 09:34 am: |
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Well Claudius,
Thankyou for your very kind invitation.
I would love to join you for a cafe au lait especially in such a beautiful setting.
May the conversation centre around your imperial trading secrets and holy grail of a trading plan and I may even offer to peel some grapes for your pleasure afterwards!(lol)
yours sincerely
Smithie
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i_claudius
Member
Username: i_claudius
Post Number: 280
Registered: 11-2002Rating: 
Votes: 1
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| | Friday, March 21, 2003 - 11:29 am: |
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Hi Smithie
My trading plan is very simple ... I sit in front of a computer monitor for hours on end until I am cross-eyed looking for little up trends to jump on for half an hour or an hour.
Frequently I realise how intensely boring this activity is so I do things like sleeping, eating, listening to Alfred Brendel playing Haydn and Mozart ... and other more meaningful activities like visiting my grandkids.
I am getting so bored with day trading (even when making $500 on Deutsche Bank in 20 minutes) that I am beginning to question whether money is worth working for any more.
I've done it for enough years now, so why ruin what little time I have left trying to make a little bit more?
My trading plan is therefore to persuade myself to stop trading in this addictive and futile manner.
I am considering working off weekly or monthly charts and taking small positions ... and if the company is good enough and it is in Weinstein Stage 2 ... forgetting what I bought, until next week or next month.
Does anyone have a better plan?
I_Claudius
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smithie
Member
Username: smithie
Post Number: 31
Registered: 09-2002Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 |
