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Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world

Chart Forum » Markets » Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world

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colin_twiggs
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Username: colin_twiggs

Post Number: 3340
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Monday, April 20, 2009 - 03:12 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Excellent article in the Financial Times by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Everyone should read this.

Regards,
Colin


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colin_twiggs
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Tuesday, April 28, 2009 - 12:42 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Martin Wolf of FT on the decades long process that led to the current crisis.

http://www.ft.com/cms/885d7916-e3aa-11dc-8799-0000779fd2ac.html?_i_referralObjec t=1035752223&fromSearch=n


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colin_twiggs
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Part II: Martin Wolf on the debate over how we are going to get out of this mess.

http://www.ft.com/cms/885d7916-e3aa-11dc-8799-0000779fd2ac.html?_i_referralObjec t=1035736188&fromSearch=n


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morton
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Colin, I think it's a cop-out that it's called a Global Financial Crisis, It should be called the Global Government Crisis. The crisis is a result of poor government regulation. Is it any wonder the government has their head buried in the sand. As long as they worship Kaynes, we'll never get out. China is the shining economy, and how many governments are looking at their model, and why not??? Most of my friends assume the government is on our side, the governments are the problem...


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colin_twiggs
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Tuesday, April 28, 2009 - 03:52 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Morton,

Government stuffed up. The solution is not more government, as in China, but less government.

The primary failure was allowing a debt bubble to develop, by distorting market interest rates. Failing to adequately regulate overheated financial markets was a secondary mistake.

We need better regulation but less intervention: no artificially low interest rates, no first home buyer incentives that drive up house prices, no bonus checks funded by taxes on future generations, no higher taxes on super funds, etc. Intervention does more harm than good. We have to get ourselves out of this mess -- even if we did not create it.

Regards,
Colin


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morton
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Wednesday, April 29, 2009 - 11:08 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Colin, Completly agree with every word you wrote...

w.r.t China. I only agree with their savings attitude, not so much a fan of their other principals...


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colin_twiggs
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We all need to save more. That was destroyed by debasing the currency. Which also caused the debt bubble.

Regards, Colin


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colin_twiggs
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009 - 06:12 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Debunking the myth of Too-Big-To-Fail

An interview with Mariner Kemper of UMB Financial.







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polpak
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Saturday, May 23, 2009 - 09:09 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Thanks was interesting reading.

When hear "they are to big to fail" is perhaps time to break them into three.


End of day we need competition to keep each of them a bit more honest.

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