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ASX300 Advance - Decline Line

Chart Forum » Markets » ASX300 Advance - Decline Line

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Archive through May 27, 2005perler5959 1 27-May-05  08:57 pm
Archive through November 13, 2004fox_terrier25 1 12-Nov-04  11:39 pm
Archive through July 30, 2004perler5925 1 30-Jul-04  04:58 pm
         

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perler59
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Friday, June 03, 2005 - 06:10 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


A-D_2005-06-03.gif

Lack of discipline ends trading careers far more efficiently than lack of knowledge.

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perler59
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Saturday, June 11, 2005 - 08:40 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


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Lack of discipline ends trading careers far more efficiently than lack of knowledge.

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hailoh
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Wednesday, June 15, 2005 - 09:40 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Hi Perler

Am I reading things into the Adv/Dec charts posted on your very handy Toowoomba site? The ASX50 peak appears to be at a resistance line drawn across recent peaks and the other plots are also stalling.

Yesterday I noticed 19 stocks in Stage 4 (150dMA<50dMA)I have been following all showed falls from recent resistance levels marking pullbacks in the declining trend.

Looks like time to at least be airing the shorts again.


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perler59
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Wednesday, June 15, 2005 - 11:09 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Hello Hailoh :-)

My interpretation is that the ASX_50 is having a rest after the recent steep rise, while XMD and XSO are still looking good. ASX_50 may burst forth with renewed vigour shortly? After XJO touches the (very steep) recent trend line? Just my wishful thinking perhaps?

If A-D_XSO rolls over and then makes a lower high, look out! :-)

http://sttc.net.au/~stever/

Lack of discipline ends trading careers far more efficiently than lack of knowledge.

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perler59
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Friday, June 17, 2005 - 06:10 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


So much for XJO resistance at 4267 ZOOM!
A-D_2005-06-17.gif

Lack of discipline ends trading careers far more efficiently than lack of knowledge.

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volvodriver
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Monday, June 20, 2005 - 09:45 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


I guess with 45% of the ASX200 rally due to 17 of its component stocks the narrowness of the rally is quite evident. The broader market's advance decline looks weak against the others but is there any history of previous fast rallies like this one and how the broader market advance decline reacted after the initial 30 odd days rally.

Don't Die Wondering

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ken
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Monday, June 20, 2005 - 10:16 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Volvodriver,

This rise is in Elliott Wave terms a fifth wave, and a characteristic of 5th waves is that they are narrow. 3rd waves are broad advances.

The last 5th wave finished with the tech wreck in 2000 (this one is a couple of degrees lower) and its narrowness featured the "new economy" stocks but with little gain on other stocks.

What are the 17 stocks you refer to and what camps do they fall into? We know the largest stocks have the greatest impact on an index but is oil the dominant theme, or are there others in your reckoning?

Thanks,

Ken

Price is the leader of the market crowd. (Elder)
Members of the crowd follow the leader and experience the same emotions as each other.
To be independent of the crowd we must not change our behaviour with price.

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volvodriver
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Tuesday, June 21, 2005 - 09:34 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


The 17 ASX200 stocks and approximate no of corresponding points is as follows:

BHP 49
WPL 13
MBL 12
RIN 11
Newscorp 9
CBA 9
TLS 8
WDC 8
MIG 7
WOW 7
WES 6
RIO 6
TAH 5
QBE 5
ANZ 5
WBC 5
NCM 5

Guess the spread is pretty general

Don't Die Wondering

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perler59
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Saturday, June 25, 2005 - 12:14 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Ouch! The good news may be that history shows that big declines are preceded by a warning from the A-D line, and this time there was no warning... http://gw.sttc.net.au/~stever/ad_xko_historical.gif
A-D_2005-06-24.gif

http://sttc.net.au/~stever

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starboard_tack
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Saturday, June 25, 2005 - 02:44 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Hi Perler,

I wonder though if the XSO and XKO have been giving this warning? The other two have been able to get back up to their previous high, but XKO, and especially XSO, have not been able to keep up. A possible warning that this last upleg was very much favoured by the "safer" stocks?

Regards,
Starb'd

"There is nothing - absolutely nothing - half so much worth doing as simply messing about in boats"
Water Rat to the Mole in "The Wind In The Willows"

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perler59
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Friday, July 01, 2005 - 06:29 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Dragged up during the afternoon today by the top 50...
A-D_2005-07-01.gif

http://sttc.net.au/~stever

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perler59
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Friday, July 08, 2005 - 08:10 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Hmm. Was that a double top we just had or is the market about to reverse up and make a double bottom in an uptrend? There's quite a divergence between the A-D lines and XJO.

A-D_2005-07-08.gif

http://sttc.net.au/~stever

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perler59
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Friday, July 15, 2005 - 06:37 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)


Come on market. Make up your mind already
A-D lines still looking bearish.
A-D_2005-07-15.gif

http://sttc.net.au/~stever

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rederob
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