The Hindenburg Omen

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colin_twiggs

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Monday, October 10, 2005 - 04:39 pm:

Attempts to predict major market reversals from the number of new 52-week highs and lows on a particular day: http://safehaven.com/article-3880.htm

With thanks to Ken.

sumamura

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Monday, October 10, 2005 - 11:36 pm:

can u customise the five filters for australian or any other market ?

elisabeth

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Saturday, October 15, 2005 - 06:10 am:

This chart only relates to one aspect of the H omen, and it is based on weekly data, not daily. I've been tracking # new highs/lows as a percentage of all stocks in the All Ords since March. (I've jigged the data so that more lows pull the bars down lower.)

Each week I update the data and wonder what it might be telling me...... I'm sure Ive got confirmation bias for my bullish wish when I note that the new lows have not increased (10%-10%-11%) as much as the new highs have fallen (15%-11%-9%) in the last 3 weeks.

(Does TA apply...... the double top in Sept)

Obviously I need a lot more history but it only takes 10 seconds to update and time will tell if it has any value.

Elisabeth

ken

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Friday, October 28, 2005 - 08:41 pm:

Another "Hindenburg Omen" -related link about the progress of the market new highs and lows into crashes, the new lows numbers you see at the bottom, and when it is safe to go back in.

http://www.safehaven.com/showarticle.cfm?id=3989

Well worth a read. See the link at the top of this page for the Hindenburg omen itself. A seemingly reliable predictor of crashes.

Trade with the trend, not against it.

The trend is the direction of the 22ema line (Elder)

spider

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Saturday, October 29, 2005 - 01:43 pm:

Excellent read ken.
It would be cool if we could chart this for the AUS market.

spider.

spider

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Saturday, October 29, 2005 - 01:58 pm:

Her's a dumb question.
I think that stocknessmonster gives the number of rises and falls for a day. Does anyone know where I could get the number of new highs and new lows (52 week), per day, for the AUS market.
It would be even cooler if I could get historical data for this as well?

Back in the day, when I used the Age newspaper for info, I think that they had a column for each share that showed it's 52 week high and low, they must have gotten that info from somewhere.

spider.

ken

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Saturday, October 29, 2005 - 08:56 pm:

Hey Spider,

I found this site tonight which claims it is the only one with 52 week highs and lows.

http://clients.weblink.com.au/clients/equitiesinfo/

Doesn't appear to have a history but I haven't looked far.

Ken

Trade with the trend, not against it.

The trend is the direction of the 22ema line (Elder)

heyyou

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Saturday, October 29, 2005 - 09:06 pm:

Hey Spider,

How cool is this.

52 Week Lows and Highs for week ending 28/10/05 Highs lows

spider

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Saturday, October 29, 2005 - 10:51 pm:

heyyou....................very cool.
ken....................excellent.

But I'm greedy, I want more!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I wants charts going back to the beginning of time!!!!!!!!!

I want them delivered to my door by scantily clad maidens (don't tell mrs spider I said that.

Go forth my minions, and find me MORE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Seriously, thanks for the efforts guys, there will be a little something extra in your pay packet this week.

spider.

heyyou

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Sunday, October 30, 2005 - 08:24 am:

Spider

There are some (unmentionable) charting packages around that you can do absolutely anything with, just ask Snifter.

All it takes is a little incentive, motivation, ability and determination.

spider

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Sunday, October 30, 2005 - 01:59 pm:

The charting package isn't the issue (you can run all this from a spreadsheet).
It's the access to to the raw data that is the problem.

heyyou

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Sunday, October 30, 2005 - 02:36 pm:

Fair enough, data is not really a problem in my opinion, it's available everywhere, whether you get it for free (yahoo) or pay $100's a month (paritech), streaming, live, delayed or futured, it's the ability to do with it what you want.

The reason I joined this thread was I have already been researching 52 week high and lows and had the relevant info at my finger tips.

You can get or be anything in this world if you want it enough.
(If it is to be, it's up to me.)

Arrivederci!

spider

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Monday, October 31, 2005 - 11:01 am:

OK heyyou,
am I missing something here?
My brain doesn't work that well in these early morning hours, but I could have sworn that there was something between the lines of your recent posts, so I went back and read them again, and sure enough, I got the same feeling.

Is there something that you would like to say?
Something you need to get off your chest?
Or, am I just imagining it?

The whole 52 week high low thing is something that I have been into since the mid nineties, and I believe that it is an excellent early warning tool, but I have not been able to convince a lot of people along the way.

spider.

elisabeth

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Saturday, November 12, 2005 - 10:04 am:

Nice bullish week on the Ords with 0.6% more new 52 week Highs than last week, but ..... 2.1% more new Lows, ie there were three and a half times more new Lows than new Highs.

Elisabeth