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Are these indicators conflicting?

Chart Forum » Indicators » Are these indicators conflicting?

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bwalt67
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Username: bwalt67

Post Number: 2
Registered: 09-2006

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Monday, September 18, 2006 - 05:15 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi

I was looking at a chart of AMP this afternoon, and I'm hoping someone with more technical experience than me can help with an explanation.

The DI+ is above the DI- and the ADX is sloping upwards so my first thought was to go long if tomorrow's open is above today's close of 9.23.

Looking at the Accumulation/Distribution and the Twiggs Money Flow I'm picking up a bearish divergence though.

So is the upward trend strengthening or weakening?? Which of the indicators should I give more priority to?

I'm still pretty new to the technical analysis side of things, so obviously if I'm mis-interpreting these indicators I would really appreciate the heads-up.

Kind Regards
Bev




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david_louisson
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Username: david_louisson

Post Number: 258
Registered: 02-2004

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Wednesday, September 20, 2006 - 11:22 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi Bev

All indicators are invariably derived from price (and some, like money flow, from a combination of price and volume).

If you look at the price section of your chart, higher lows and lower highs are being formed, in a narrowing wedge.

Given the lower highs, then, I wouldn't necessarily describe this as an "upward trend". In a narrowing wedge scenario, the price sometimes breaks out strongly, either way.

However, I'm not that experienced at reading charts. Some of the other forum contributors could perhaps offer a more knowledgeable opinion.

Best wishes
David







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bwalt67
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Username: bwalt67

Post Number: 2
Registered: 09-2006

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Thursday, September 21, 2006 - 11:44 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi David

Thanks for your effort in responding.

I think you've helped me figure this out.

From what I gather, the ADX is meant to show the strength in the trend. However, if the stock isn't actually trending (er, duh Bev) then the indicator probably isn't of much use.

The day after I had been looking at the chart, the stock opened higher but then it promptly sank like a stone.

My concern over the bearish divergence stopped me from being long - so I guess avoiding a losing trade was a small success in itself. (At least that's the way I'm going to look at it!!)

Thanks again David.

Kind Regards
Bev

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