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Trade the Bollonger Band Squeeze

Health Check

Chart Forum » Stocks - ASX: long term & fundamental » Health Check

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 06:36 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



COH - getting to an important level




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 06:38 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



CSL - are you betting on a bounce from here ?









"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 09:10 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



BKL - have you been taking your vitamins ?




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 09:16 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



ANN - I guess the rubber gloves are still popular




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 09:19 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



IVC - they will get you in the end !!!




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, June 27, 2011 - 09:23 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



RHC - Is there really money to be made in Hospitals ?






"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, July 09, 2011 - 01:22 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



A set of ear muffs or the spare room is cheaper !!!





"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Big percentage moves and a good story.





"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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dennis_menace
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Saturday, July 09, 2011 - 03:16 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



You can also see that the volume has been falling, so should it close on an high on a break through the volume resistance barrier would be very encouraging.

Remember to do your own research


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msparks
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Wednesday, September 14, 2011 - 08:25 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Not good for some ....

Fundamental guys kept pushing it.

Technically it had just formed a little up trend short term with a higher low and a higher high and no chance to exit on the cross of the second higher low.



Longer term the trend was over on the weekly.



Moral of the story is to trade only with the trend on the higher timeframe.


"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Sunday, October 09, 2011 - 08:29 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



No higher high yet for coh




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Sunday, October 09, 2011 - 08:33 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Mesoblast looks OK but needs to go a bit further yet perhaps to get a new entry .... MSB




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Amazing performance from RHC, I thought hospitals are supposed to run at a huge loss, or is that just government hospitals....almost blue sky




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, October 29, 2011 - 10:03 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Has the trend ended or will the trendline breakout be rewarding ?



Waite for the pullback ?




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, October 29, 2011 - 10:07 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Back to the gap fill now after taking out the lower higher about 10 dollars ago.



Not looking good even after some good news last week.




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, October 29, 2011 - 10:10 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



You should be in already , der .



Double bottom and currency problems apparently.




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, October 29, 2011 - 10:16 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Who would have thought this old dog would just keep sailing higher.



I like this one,but need a pullback now to enter...



Thats all I can see of interest in the Health watchlist.
Ansell, Blackmores,RHC,IVC all a bit boring atmo.Mesoblast had a knockout move this week , ouch .


"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Thursday, December 29, 2011 - 10:18 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Should be out if you are one of those short term disciplined types who follow rules.
The gap is filled now and price is sitting on the last swing high from June 2011 so the long termers may be still waiting until about 50 cents before jumping ship.





"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Thursday, December 29, 2011 - 10:30 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



A slow grind higher after we got the 50% pullback for entry.
Stop should be around breakeven so not much joy yet and it needs to get a move on.




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Thursday, December 29, 2011 - 10:55 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Health is for animals too ! and old vets need someone to sell their business to so they can wind down into retirement.
You don't think the young ones are going to be bogged down with a debt and having to run a business for 20 years ?




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Sunday, January 15, 2012 - 03:00 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



ACR looks interesting




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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SPL grinding higher - corrective type of move ...until today



ACR is setting up again



GXL is still climbing




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, February 06, 2012 - 07:38 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



CSL not looking too good, must be dollar related ?



RHC not looking too good



SHL testing the trend line




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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qed
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Hey Gun trader ... how u been traveling?...hope ur well . learnt to pull the trigger ... SPL has great future ..I hope...


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msparks
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Monday, February 13, 2012 - 06:13 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



yep
and away it goes again




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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gdd3
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012 - 10:27 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi Sparksie...just for you on Valentine's day



You're spot on as usual with one of my favourite TAZers, SPL! BUT why on earth have you missed including PRR on your HEALTH CHECK?

Maybe the 'entry level' is not high enough for you; i.e. not enough H.H. yet!






All my Luv...

Dolphin


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msparks
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012 - 11:04 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



same back at you Dolphin

PRR needs to get thru 21 or 22 I think to be more confident in it going ahead

(but that is 20 to 30 percent away I suppose)

BUT you are an early bird and catching plenty of worms

cheers


"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Saturday, March 03, 2012 - 05:58 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



update on PRR

How is it looking now Dolphin ?
I guess you have made a bundle of money already and moved on to something else ?

Not sure where the stop should be, just under 20 or just under 18 ? biomeds can get very flippy ...

Apparently they are listing on the US.
Seen the funny little guy on sky business talking about it ..... the other day ....




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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espresso
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I'm not being smart, however the Barbara told me PRR would get to around $3 but did not say by when.
Cheers


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gdd3
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Sunday, March 04, 2012 - 10:46 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi Sparksie...

Yep..."biomeds can get very flippy"...agree!

"Apparently they are listing on the US"...yes, this has been 'out there' for a considerable amount of time and now that Ski Business has revealed it we see 'the usual profit take' by some. However, I try not to get too 'tangled-up' in interpreting the F/A's on a stock; preferring to leave that all to those people who think they know...I much prefer a simple picture(with its 1000's words)...and that picture right now is telling me I should be monitoring to look to add to my position(SMSF) and maybe a trade position as well. The current classic backtest of the breakout level could even see 19.5c but I'd be surprised as we could have already seen a TAZ set-up with Fri's action if not this Mon./Tues...So I'm alert to play(to quoin another's phase).

Expresso, can't get too 'hung-on' the lofty price of $3.00 just yet preferring to monitor action back near 27.5c 1st, then 32c and maybe 42c for obvious reasons....climb up the stairs, as it were, instead of direct "express lift".(Isn't it amazing that all "express lifts" actually have to pass above/through all intermediate levels before anyway...the fact that they don't stop is irrelevant, right!).






Maybe time to stop 'watching' guys and just 'climb on-board'.



Good Tradin' Guys
Dolphin


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msparks
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Saturday, March 10, 2012 - 05:12 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi
If there was demand for PRR this would not have happened.
The doji after going higher than the green line, and the tweezer top at the pink line were warning signs that something was not quite right. jmv



The popular Starpharma has stepped up another notch.



And surferdude's ACR is going well too, hopefully the trend line will hold any pullbacks.




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Monday, August 20, 2012 - 07:40 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



some movement in this sector








"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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sway
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Good research MSP.

Thanks
Sway


This is not a recommendation or advice. As they say .... DYOR.

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elisabeth
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Some nice moves there, Sparksy. Healthcare is at a critical level - bearing in mind the last bar is intra-week, is it third time through?

health


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elisabeth
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Thursday, September 13, 2012 - 08:14 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



SIP - where is it going....

There's a nice big long term triangle consolidation.

d

Within that there a shorter term triangle......

d2

Which on the weekly looks like a broadening top!

w

There's strong resistance at 70c - if there's news it may break up, but there could be another test of that long term slowly rising trendline with possible entry opportunity below 60c?


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gdd3
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Thursday, September 13, 2012 - 02:07 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Nice charts, Lizzy...SIP is not pretty to look at, especially S/T, is she...very hard to know whether she wants to break NNE(to new highs) or have another go to the mid to low 60's.

I was hoping her A.P. charts might clarify the situation but not necessarily. Only thing I could confirm was that the two primary A.P.'s...red and yellow(over the 4-Hourly time-frame) ... have primary tynes suppt and resistance respectively that have provided current swing parameters. SIP would need to clear the 73/71c resistance zone hanging just above the current high with conviction, and ideally then re-test a break of this area on light vols., for her to really break the shackles she has been in over the last 12months+.





Persevere with the A.Tri. strategy/charts, Lizzy...you only need a few to work for you to make good 'spindoolies'.

Cheers
Dolphin


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gdd3
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Thursday, November 29, 2012 - 11:52 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



OUCH! SPL...doesn't this just stink when as a shareholder you see what happened here today?

Well, literally, smelly syndrome from 2 of the 30 test groups over-shadowed what might have been favourable test results released after market last night. Market(panickers) didn't like it initially resulting in a whopping 60% gap down B4 some perceiving bargain hunters brought in from the opening bell and we have a solid candle bounce...but to where we can all ponder.

From a T/A point of view...Take a look at the chart below(nice gap, aye!). A number of questions come to the fore. 1/...why push the opening price down so far and more particularly to $1.00? Well, over this past 2yrs there is one obvious Chart support level over that timeframe ...simple logic, at least for the moment. 2/...do you think there was panic selling across the board or was it just a few traders/Mums and Dads etc?...well I think the simple answer is in the lack of Vol. Now don't misunderstand me here...5.5mil is good vol. for a day's trade(just look at the Vol chart) BUT its really only a small number verses the number of shares on issue. Hence, I think most of today's vol. was buying vol. and very likely some major share holders and certaily no panic. Afterall, $1.07 was the last CR price about a year ago and whilst that holds I don't think L/T'ers are going to worry too much about SPL's future. Besides, VivaGel is only but one of their products. So, 3/...where to from here? Well, as I said above "we can all ponder" but I liken it to HIL with one major exception(a favourable one), SPL was in a strong uptrend. HIL was in a downtrend but still rallied 50% from its gap low B4 meeting any real resistance. The point I make here is that sometimes these apparent bad gap down days actually prove good opportunities for good % trades in the near-term if not longer(if they have a good product). The clue is often observed in the trading action in the 1st few days after the news is out. I pay particular attention to the vol. activity and intraday candle nature noting whether we get high vols when you get outside range candles(solder candles)for example or low volume inside range doji candles after as the market takes a breather.

Whilst I see the $1.25 as a possible 1st tier resist, we should eventually test $1.33(POC level) min B4 possible/probable test of the $1.41 area.







See how this one pans out, aye.

Dolphin}}}


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msparks
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Sunday, February 03, 2013 - 01:30 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Here is an update Dolphin

COH 's gap was bad enough but this was a real nasty !!!

guaranteed stop loss is the only thing that can save you in these type of moves




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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msparks
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Sunday, February 03, 2013 - 01:36 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



ACR has made a nice move from the low




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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gdd3
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Sunday, February 03, 2013 - 11:37 pm:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi Sparksie...

SPL...pretty sure you are not going to find any broker "guaranteeing" a stop-loss placed, say 5-10% below a previous closing price, when the stock opens 55% lower the next day....let me know if you find one.

Anyway, SPL has done almost exactly as I outlined above, that is it has made its way back to the $1.33/41 band. However, more specifically it has justified what I was really explaining..."The point I make here is that sometimes these apparent bad gap down days actually prove good opportunities for good % trades in the near-term if not longer(if they have a good product). The clue is often observed in the trading action in the 1st few days after the news is out.". HIL's was another example I brought to this forum some months ago(O.D.B. thread)that has bared fruit(and may be on the beginnings of another wave up as of Fri.)

Yes, ACR has made a nice move from its low...but so many others have also. The question here right now(like a lot of stocks)is what would you do now if not in?

Cheers
Dolphin }}


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msparks
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gdd3 wrote on Monday, February 04, 2013 - 12:37 am:

what would you do now if not in




waite for the pullback is the best option now I think Dolphin

well done on hil and spl buying the low for a rise from the overdone selloff

curious as to wether you would do it differently for an exaggerated gap rise ?

kar for example

I think IG will give you a guaranteed SL


"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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gdd3
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Hi Sparksie(et all)...

I'll respond to your posting in the order of the points raised ITO...

waite for the pullback is the best option now I think Dolphin...Generally, I would have to agree but as most would/have been 'hoping' for this for the majority of the runs, sometimes, when you have a 'strong' market (small 1-3 day pullbacks as we have seen) you may have to 'bite-the-bullet' march sooner(by using S/T timeframe set-ups instead of your norm.)

well done on hil and spl buying the low for a rise from the overdone selloff...thanks; out of SPL but still in HIL(although 1/2 my exposure this a.m. @ $1.10)...why, I include my "Road Map" chart to help explain why below.

curious as to wether you would do it differently for an exaggerated gap rise?...Yes and No! My interest in the GAP down I was highlighting in HIL, and to a lessor extend SPL, was primarily due to GOOD QUALITY stocks that appeared to be overdone(all the bad news was out in the market) and there was clear evidence strong buying coming in at good chart(my chart 'read') zones real soon. Remember, I look for the 1st early clues as I explained above..."The point I make here is that sometimes these apparent bad gap down days actually prove good opportunities for good % trades in the near-term if not longer (if they have a good product). The clue is often observed in the trading action in the 1st few days after the news is out."This is the case for most GAP's but I treat GAP's over range boundaries(up or dn) differently to GAP's within ranges. Gaps over range boundaries have a far better chance of not being filled so soon and often supply you with good suppt/resistance going forward whereas Gaps within a range generally are tested/filled much sooner. The size of the Gap also determines my action....large Gaps I generally wait, and look for clues, in the action over the next 2-3 day's.

kar for example...Kar is particularly interest and I want to include my take on this but have run out of time so will post later this evening, ITO!

I think IG will give you a guaranteed SL...any % fall on open; doubt it, but hope someone else can suppt your belief!

Anyway, here's HIL's "Road Map"...Weekly and Daily that I hope explains why I entered in the early days after the fall....we reached HIL's P.O.C. @ $1.11 today so thats why I exited 1/2. I kept 1/2 because I note that the Hourly structure(not shown) indicates we may have some more to go but primarily because HIL is a SMSF holding so I'm hoping to add some more a bit lower.








Cheers
Dolphin}}}


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msparks
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could coh be a contender for the Dolphin oversold trade ???




"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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gdd3
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Now, Sparksie...a little stupid but I didn't think that stupid!

And just for you...










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msparks
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"I have my own unique system "
"I manage to lose money in bull and in bear markets "

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