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Trade the Bollonger Band Squeeze

Federal Reserve Bank Influence

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ehmu
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Username: ehmu

Post Number: 627
Registered: 08-2010

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Thursday, August 25, 2011 - 04:00 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi dee ho everyone:

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/pomo/display/index.cfm?showmore=1&opertype=orig


Permanent OMOs: Treasury

The purchase or sale of Treasury securities on an outright basis adds or drains reserves available in the banking system. Such transactions are arranged on a routine basis to offset other changes in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet in conjunction with efforts to maintain conditions in the market for reserves consistent with the federal funds target rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).


Operation Date: 08/22/2011

Operation Type: Outright Coupon Purchase

Release Time: 10:15 AM

Close Time: 11:00 AM

Settlement Date: 08/23/2011

Maturity/Call Date Range: 11/15/2021 - 08/15/2041


Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) : $820

Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) : $4,125





OK, just a little analysis: note on the attached chart where some mystery buyer drove the markets up during 30 minutes prior to the sale aug22(auction etc.).

Then for the rest of the day the mystery buyer (my speculation) shorted borrowed shares in to the close whilst accumulating and covering toward the end of the day.

Then on the settlement date (23), the mystery buyer put their new found money to work in the markets driving them up 250pts for the day.

This isn't technical analysis, but it is technical-analysis.
This is the reason that Bill's TNA worked so well on aug23, not some bollinger band (Is Three Dog Night a bollinger band?).

You connect the dots Orley, this is a doityourself site.









_____ Hal



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ehmu
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Username: ehmu

Post Number: 634
Registered: 08-2010

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Saturday, August 27, 2011 - 03:55 am:Copy highlighted text to 'New Message' boxEdit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



So much for transparency !


ehmu wrote on Thursday, August 25, 2011 - 04:00 am:

Permanent OMOs: Treasury




Permanent OMOs: Treasury

The purchase or sale of Treasury securities on an outright basis adds or drains reserves available in the banking system. Such transactions are arranged on a routine basis to offset other changes in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet in conjunction with efforts to maintain conditions in the market for reserves consistent with the federal funds target rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).


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Operation 1 - RESULTS

Operation Date: 08/25/2011

Operation Type: Outright TIPS Purchase

Release Time: 10:15 AM

Close Time: 11:00 AM

Settlement Date: 08/26/2011

Maturity/Call Date Range: 04/15/2013 - 02/15/2041


Total Par Amt Accepted (mlns) : $439

Total Par Amt Submitted (mlns) : $3,550

Well let me say that Blasphemous Ben (not in the religious sense) scores another violation of the trust. ie--saying nothing is happening in his speech, whilst another POMO is pumping the markets.

Some one will need to abscond with the statue of liberty before the subject has a hope of becoming clear.

The chart below shows another "sting operation" in todays markets, friday aug 26. I would love to be a fly on the wall and see who the real benefactor is of these moves.

I do note that the success of the auctions is waning (439 taken of 3550 offered), let's face it, there could be the scarcity of buyers ?? as the number of bids approaches zero, Ben will start buying them himself---if he hasn't already







_____ Hal


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