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Vcr

Chart Forum » Stocks - ASX: short term (strictly TA) » Archive through 2004 » Archive through October 08, 2004 » Vcr

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Archive through August 04, 2004kostas25 04-Aug-04  01:03 am
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ppl8r
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Username: ppl8r

Post Number: 14
Registered: 04-2004

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Wednesday, August 04, 2004 - 11:22 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



HI there guys! Thanks for your contribution towards yet another good thread.

This is how I see VCR's recent progress, hope I'm on the right track, but also open to different views.

I believe that VCR is currently forming quite a handsome uptrending channel which might see it hitting the mid 160's
short term and if it bounces back off that,things would be looking quite good. I'd rather see it finding support at the 170c mark, but Market Depth has been deteriorating all week, and although that can change quickly, at the moment I'm not that optimistic.

VCR

In the midst of the channel,it also seems to be forming an ascending Triangle, which starts forming from the lows of the end of June, and finding resistance @ 180c.

Like Hutcho, I think that if 180c is broken,we're onto something. If one acts on the bounce off the bottom trendline, if it eventuates, say @ 170c,and it breaks that resistance, you'd have to be looking at a 45c-50c play.

VCR Asc Tri

I know that there's a few IFS there, and I apologise for that.
I do endeavour to trade what I see, not what I think.
Can anyone else see what I see?
Or maybe something different again!


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hershy
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Username: hershy

Post Number: 394
Registered: 10-2002

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Thursday, August 12, 2004 - 08:05 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



VCR







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budgy
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Username: budgy

Post Number: 5
Registered: 01-2004

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Friday, August 13, 2004 - 06:54 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hershy, i read on a another chat site that there is some action happening at papworth hospital cambridge. Is that in the U.K.


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greatdane
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Username: greatdane

Post Number: 105
Registered: 12-2002

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Sunday, August 15, 2004 - 03:41 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



" i read on a another chat site "
Which other site ??

" papworth hospital cambridge. Is that in the U.K. "
YES, and that is where cardiac transplants etc. take place in the UK.

(Message edited by GreatDane on August 15, 2004)


Regards, GreatDane

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buy_stop
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Sunday, August 22, 2004 - 08:53 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Can it hold $1.62?...




Technical analysis is largely making a series of educated guesses that are based on reliable observations of past market behavior. Occasionally the guesses prove to be incorrect, and it is then the function of the analyst to adjust rapidly to the unforeseen developments.

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budgy
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Monday, August 23, 2004 - 01:41 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



on the fly again, may test 1.80 this week. if global trials are announced this should head back over $ 2


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budgy
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Thursday, August 26, 2004 - 12:10 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



based on this morning's action looks like a breakout could be on the cards. needs to close near it's high though. anyone else agree


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unique
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Thursday, August 26, 2004 - 12:25 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



budgy, if you follow VCR's past performance it is a pattern that has appeared before a rise (eg just before and after the first implant of the pilot trials). With a speccy like this announcements are so important it is just that the company management has lost a bit of credibility with its announced timeframes. Fundamentally the device VCR has developed is quite unique and may take off. unique


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budgy
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Thursday, August 26, 2004 - 02:22 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



yes uniqe, i should have capotalised on the huge run this time last year but took my eye off the ball due to bussiness pressures.ifeel in all honesty that this stock can repeat that explosion from last year may even get into the 4 to 5 dollar area. i have waited nearly 4 years for global trials to begin and feel that time is very near. cheer's


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unique
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Friday, August 27, 2004 - 01:42 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



budgy, $4-$5? fundamentally you are probably correct, however it is a scary ride. I am only new to this share game, I got in just before the Tech bubble and got burnt BAD. Made most of this back. The device has won a heap of awards and grants and received good feedback in journals etc. My major concern is the competition. At the moment there is really only 1 (as I understand it) 3rd gen competitor. From a technical view point and speaking in hindsight this stock was easy money for a trader up until now. From the company's timeframes (which have a credibility problem) things should pick up from here and snowball. There is terrible downside in case of panic arising from deaths or approvals (CE and FDA). Unique


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hutcho
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Friday, August 27, 2004 - 02:35 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Having been a holder of VCR in the past, I do keep a Eye on it. From an Investors(as against a Trader's) view, the Company lost a lot of credibilty when they announced the replacement of Michael Spooner. This was a total surprise to me, who was at the time a long Term Holder and the Market in General, from that point VCR has failed to meet it's guidances for Timeframes etc.

The thing is though.....if this is such a revolutionary device with wide reaching potential for millions of patients (thus big $$$ potential) ..how is it that they have only been able to find 6 Candidates in the past 12+ months to trial it on ???? Either the problem is not as widespread....or there is less Invasive procedures that can stabilise the condition !!!!!

3 Years ago 60 Minutes ran a story about an American Doctor who was pioneering similar Technology, very successfully. My guess is the FDA are paying more attention to him, than they are with VCR.

On that note VCR is up 4% today !!!!

Hutcho


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kostas
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Post Number: 22
Registered: 11-2002

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Monday, August 30, 2004 - 01:03 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



hi hutcho,

just over twelve months ago vcr announced a pilot trial for ten patients that was to be conducted over a twelve month period.from my understanding, the ten patients were already selected not indicating a shortage, they are due for their ninth trial within a month.also regarding the actual ventrassist device it is a lot smaller and less likely to malfunction than any other device that has reached this far in clinical trials.lets not forget that they are 85-90 % into this trial and they have gone ahead and built a manufacturing plant and still have 60 million + in cash on hand,plus their price has increased about 40 % in the last 3 months.most of this info i read on their website. the chart though holds the real picture showing an macd crossover and primarily,an up trend is forming.also on each of their last three most major breakouts volume has been there to support it


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budgy
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Monday, August 30, 2004 - 11:15 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



1mill shares traded in the last half hour or so . Must be some good news around the corner, highest close today for a good while. Does anyone else agree that today's close was significant from a technical point of veiw.cheer's


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unique
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Wednesday, September 01, 2004 - 01:12 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Hi, budgey

While a good TA person will tell you that the chart represents all the fundamentals, my view is that the announcements for VCR are so strong (eg life/death trials or no trials) that the chart will be all over the place. Technically it has been in a bit of an uptrend since may this year. I see $2.20(or $2.25) at the big hurlde as that was the strike price for the last option issue. I don't think the management is that unethical or inept so I think at least for the next say 9 months the SP should do ok. U


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budgy
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Wednesday, September 01, 2004 - 11:40 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Uniqe i agree, i just think that an announcement may come out of left feild, such as atakeover or us trials could happen sooner than we think. The ausie trials could be finnished at any time, and if you believe the experts the top people involved such as chief surgeon Prof Don Esmore who said that he is extremely pleased with the porformance of the device and the results thus far,you have to admit this stock has enormous potentiel also taking into account the emerging market in the 7 to 12 bill area and first sales end of next year and 60 mill in the bank wich they say is enough to get through to commercialisation. Has to go up.


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hershy
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Username: hershy

Post Number: 424
Registered: 10-2002

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Thursday, September 02, 2004 - 06:31 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



No it does not Budgy. It can go down or stay in a congestion zone. Be careful. VCR is a noble product but it is still just a biotech stock that is yet to make a profit. Many things can happen, not the least of which is competition.
So don't mortgage the house yet, OK ?
So don't trade the "product", trade the price action.

Having said that, let me just add that I think now is not a bad entry point. And do not deviate from your trading plan just because VCR is a literal life saver.

vcr


Be nice to your kids. They'll be choosing your nursing home !!

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soma
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Username: soma

Post Number: 158
Registered: 12-2002

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Thursday, September 02, 2004 - 12:24 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



budgy, I'm a relatively inexperienced trader but when I see the words "has to go up," in relation to a stock I get a feeling like maybe I need one of Ventracors products.

Many people on the forum will recognize your excitement and enthusiasm and your feeling that youv'e really got a handle on something with this stock. A lot of those same people (myself included,) will know that this attitude can get you seriously burned, straight to the 4th degree where its so bad you don't even feel it for a while: numbness with the pain in waiting. I'm not trying to be over dramatic and certainly nothing personal, as I said people here have been there.

I'm not kissing Hershey's butt here (cause it's obviously smelly and skunky) but he has given you some very sound advice. TAKE HEED!

And yes the chart does look promising, and I sincerely hope you and others who hold make a load of cash. A break of 1.90 or so might see me looking for an entry.

Regards,
Soma


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hutcho
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Post Number: 428
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Thursday, September 02, 2004 - 01:38 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Very profound advice, Soma. 3 Stars from me !!!

Hutcho


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ppl8r
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Post Number: 17
Registered: 04-2004

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Thursday, September 02, 2004 - 04:27 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Well said there Hershey! You deserve a vote
I don't mean to be a party pooper for those of you who believe in exceptional news coming out to make VCR a $4 or $5 stock,hey I hope it happens, that would surely boost my bank balance, but don't let it cloud your judgement.
Someone paid $3.60c/share for this stock just a year ago.
And if my memory serves me right, there was a couple of persons posting on this sight who were convinced that last June-July, SGW (Sons of Gwalia) was a steal @ 240c because these Tantalum Contracts were going to be rolling in by months end.
AS Hershey said, trade the price action.
Trade what you see not what you think!


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greatdane
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Saturday, September 04, 2004 - 05:26 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Heart-assist maker seeks cash-assist
Cameron England 04sep04

SYDNEY-based Sunshine Heart hopes investors will find it in their, well, hearts, to back a $15 million initial public offering.

The company is hoping to raise money for human trials of a new treatment for heart failure, the C-Pulse heart-assist device. C-Pulse is for use in cases of moderate to severe long-term heart failure a market the company estimates to be worth at least $142 million a year in the US alone.

The device uses a cuff wrapped around the heart and a balloon which inflates and deflates in time with the heart rhythm to improve blood supply.

Inventor and company medical director Will Peters, MD, said in Adelaide yesterday C-Pulse would help people who could not benefit from pacemakers.

"Since it's outside the circulatory system, you reduce the risk of blood clots, bleeding, reduce the risk of infection and you reduce the risk of device failure," Dr Peters said.

C-Pulse was less invasive than devices implanted in the heart and were more suited to the gravely ill.

Unlike other devices, it could be turned off if the heart recovered.

It would cost about $114,000 to $142,000, which Dr Peters said was about half the price of other heart pumps.

Three-quarters of the money would be used to fund long-term human trials, to start in the next six months, and the development of a wearable driver for the device.

The remainder would be used to build the company's patent protection.

Chief executive Don Rohrbaugh said more money would need to be raised in about 2006-07.

"I think the market is a little sensitive about raising big money in companies with an element of risk," he said.

"By the time we need further funding, we will have achieved some significant milestones."

The offer is underwritten by Wilson HTM Investment Group and, if fully subscribed, would give Sunshine Heart a market value of $39.4 million.

The share offer closes on September 14 for a listing date of September 28.

http://www.thecouriermail.news.com.au/printpage/0,5942,10659954,00.html


Regards, GreatDane

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budgy
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Monday, September 06, 2004 - 09:47 pm:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Thanks for the advice guy's,i have taken my original invesment off the table plus a good profit and am still over 200% up, although i'm on a free ride i understand that caution is still a priority but having said that i still feel there is more upside to come and it may be here and gone very quickly so i keep aclose eye on it. The start of global trial's and the sucessfull conclusion to the pilot trials must surely be very near. Once again i have taken notice of you guy's advice. thanks and cheer's.


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pico
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Monday, September 13, 2004 - 09:57 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



"Artificial Heart" Global trial underway announced 13 Sep


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pico
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Tuesday, September 14, 2004 - 08:01 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



Ventracor starts global heart trial as UK lags
By Rebecca Urban}
September 14, 2004
Ventracor has started a global trial of its artificial heart that is necessary for sales approval in Europe, but it could be months before it is allowed to recruit British patients into the study.
While the 30-patient trial has ethical approval in Australia, New Zealand and Europe, Ventracor is waiting for the British Government to grant regulatory approval to start the trial there.
Late last week a patient at Royal Perth Hospital in Western Australia was implanted with the device, VentrAssist, during a five-hour operation and is recovering in a stable condition. Several other patients are believed to be lined up already to be implanted with the device.
The trial, called a CE Mark Trial, will gather safety and efficacy data to support an application for regulatory approval to sell the device in Europe. It follows a pilot trial incorporating eight cardiac patients so far at The Alfred hospital.
Ventracor chief executive Colin Sutton said he could not specify how much the trial, expected to run about a year, would cost, but the company would be able to fund it within its current spending rate of about $2 million a month. Ventracor had about $60 million in the bank and was unlikely to need a capital raising any time soon to support the trial, Dr Sutton said.
Other leading cardiac transplant centres in Sydney, Brisbane, NZ and Britain would take part in the trial in coming weeks, he said. Europe is a key market for the company, as the regulatory approval process is faster and simpler than in the US. Clinical trials in North America are expected to start early next year.
Ventracor shares yesterday rose 5 to $1.80.


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gurutrader2005
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Monday, October 04, 2004 - 12:19 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



It looks like to me that VCR is heading down to $1.39 which is support the recent break below $1.63 would indicate lower levels to come.

Cheers







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alsoran
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Tuesday, October 05, 2004 - 08:34 am:Edit Post Delete Post Print Post    View Post/Check IP (Moderator/Admin only) Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only) Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)



a test of the long-term support trendline seems inevitable

cheers,
A.

VCR weekly

 
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